2011 boys Maryland MPSSAA 4321
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Hereford 19 1 1 10 1 2 1 1 4 31.00 2 Fallston 15 3 3 2 5 1 2 4 7 12.00 3 Glenelg HS 19 1 2 13 2 4 3 2 9 12.00 4 Linganore 16 1 5 11 3 3 9 3 15 4.00 5 Westminster 13 3 4 4 8 7 5 6 18 18.00 6 South Carroll 13 3 6 5 7 8 4 10 22 5.00 7 Bel Air 14 3 12 21 6 11 7 8 26 0.10 8 South River 16 4 8 8 4 10 11 12 33 2.00 9 Marriott's Ridge 15 3 10 15 9 9 18 7 34 1.00 10 Walter Johnson 10 5 28 52 52 17 6 23 46 0.10 11 Churchill 13 3 32 74 31 14 24 14 52 0.10 12 Howard 12 5 25 24 32 20 8 25 53 0.10 13 Wootton 12 6 23 18 24 5 39 13 57 0.10 14 Winters Mill 13 4 9 14 18 15 25 18 58 2.00 15 Queen Annes Coun 14 4 17 61 23 23 15 21 59 1.00 16 Kent Island 16 2 14 47 11 12 33 15 60 2.00 17 Dulaney 13 6 19 9 26 18 17 27 62 0.10 18 Middletown 15 2 13 62 10 22 29 11 62 1.00 19 North Harford 10 5 20 7 28 16 22 29 67 0.10 20 North Carroll 9 6 35 17 33 31 10 34 75 0.10 21 Leonardtown 13 3 30 103 21 27 26 28 81 0.10 22 Urbana 8 7 26 1 29 19 32 31 82 0.10 23 Patterson Mill 12 7 29 36 42 24 14 45 83 0.10 24 Quince Orchard 15 1 7 65 12 6 78 5 89 0.10 25 Severna Park 12 6 15 19 14 21 51 22 94 6.00 26 Catonsville 11 6 37 50 47 38 21 43 102 0.10 27 Sherwood 13 3 21 71 16 13 80 9 102 0.10 28 Whitman 8 5 50 72 63 29 38 41 108 0.10 29 Centennial 10 4 24 46 34 37 47 26 110 0.10 30 Towson 7 8 40 16 70 35 13 63 111 0.10 31 Chesapeake-AA 10 5 22 28 19 33 53 32 118 0.10 32 CM Wright 7 6 45 3 39 25 50 44 119 0.10 33 Stephen Decatur 11 4 27 57 38 39 44 38 121 0.10 34 NorthWestern 11 2 76 146 22 26 73 24 123 0.10 35 Overlea 11 2 62 121 20 30 76 19 125 0.10 36 Huntingtown 13 4 48 95 27 45 48 33 126 0.10 37 Atholton 10 6 34 53 53 49 30 48 127 0.10 38 North East Cecil 8 6 56 51 56 32 42 55 129 0.10 39 River Hill 10 7 36 30 40 36 57 36 129 0.10 40 Poly-Baltimore 12 1 57 138 17 28 89 17 134 0.10 41 Annapolis 9 9 31 6 30 40 31 64 135 0.10 42 Parkside 9 6 43 37 51 43 41 52 136 0.10 43 Broadneck 8 7 18 12 35 44 49 49 142 3.00 44 Poolesville 9 4 54 84 43 42 68 35 145 0.10 45 Thomas Johnson 9 7 42 38 55 53 36 56 145 0.10 46 Arundel 12 4 16 48 13 34 98 20 152 0.10 47 Franklin 10 6 44 55 50 48 52 53 153 0.10 48 Walkersville 8 8 47 26 73 56 27 76 159 0.10 49 Century 8 10 41 33 81 64 12 88 164 0.10 50 Mount Hebron 7 9 39 39 83 69 16 82 167 0.10 51 Clarksburg 11 5 67 100 44 60 74 37 171 0.10 52 Reservoir 6 9 49 25 94 62 19 94 175 0.10 53 W.E.B. DuBois 0 3 143 90 57 85 34 57 176 0.10 54 Northern/Calv Ct 13 2 11 113 15 41 124 16 181 0.10 55 Patuxent 10 6 69 108 61 65 54 62 181 0.10 56 Easton 10 7 38 49 59 55 61 66 182 0.10 57 Gaithersburg 5 8 84 70 96 58 40 84 182 0.10 58 Harford Tech 7 7 64 69 72 66 43 73 182 0.10 59 City-Baltimore 8 3 79 128 36 47 103 39 189 0.10 60 Sparrows Point 12 4 78 131 41 59 90 42 191 0.10 61 Chopticon 9 6 58 109 65 61 59 72 192 0.10 62 Seneca Valley 8 9 92 87 101 72 28 95 195 0.10 63 Smithsburg 12 3 33 79 25 46 120 30 196 0.10 64 Damascus 7 6 66 82 71 63 75 59 197 0.10 65 Watkins Mill 9 5 59 99 48 68 84 46 198 0.10 66 Dunbar 5 5 96 116 66 51 79 71 201 0.10 67 Merganthaler-Mer 6 4 104 124 54 50 100 54 204 0.10 68 Douglass 3 2 105 139 37 57 114 40 211 0.10 69 Bethesda/Chevy C 5 8 73 56 92 54 96 65 215 0.10 70 Dundalk 8 7 109 123 77 79 64 77 220 0.10 71 Lansdowne 10 4 94 143 45 67 108 47 222 0.10 72 Paint Branch 7 7 70 88 87 76 77 69 222 0.10 73 Calvert 9 7 63 94 76 75 65 83 223 0.10 74 Blake 3 10 101 76 123 88 35 102 225 0.10 75 Perry Hall 6 9 51 20 88 52 91 86 229 0.10 76 Long Reach 4 12 87 23 122 92 20 118 230 0.10 77 Woodlawn 9 4 99 142 49 70 116 51 237 0.10 78 NorthWest 5 10 103 81 125 84 55 104 243 0.10 79 Pikesville 6 11 85 66 103 78 67 100 245 0.10 80 NorthEast AA 8 10 52 41 90 71 66 109 246 0.10 81 Southern AA 6 8 55 32 60 74 86 87 247 0.10 82 Richard Montgome 6 7 86 85 91 81 92 75 248 0.10 83 Elkton 8 6 72 110 75 83 97 74 254 0.10 84 Liberty 3 12 74 22 121 97 37 120 254 0.10 85 Tuscarora 5 10 61 40 107 94 58 105 257 0.10 86 Havre De Grace 8 6 71 101 64 90 107 61 258 0.10 87 JM Bennett 5 8 68 59 97 93 70 97 260 0.10 88 Natl Academy Fou 8 7 107 137 78 80 101 79 260 0.10 89 Kent County 3 10 88 45 106 95 60 106 261 0.10 90 Forest Park 1 4 139 126 67 100 99 67 266 0.10 91 Old Mill 4 11 81 42 102 102 45 122 269 0.10 92 Rising Sun 8 5 65 115 62 86 125 60 271 0.10 93 Carver VoTech 4 3 113 148 46 82 141 50 273 0.10 94 Oakland Mills 2 13 115 44 143 110 23 140 273 0.10 95 Loch Raven 10 6 46 86 69 77 129 68 274 0.10 96 Walbrook-IBE 0 3 148 129 58 121 95 58 274 0.10 97 Manchester Valle 6 10 80 63 99 105 69 103 277 0.10 98 Eastern Tech 8 7 60 75 80 73 131 78 282 0.10 99 Great Mills 5 10 123 92 109 99 62 121 282 0.10 100 Patapsco 7 6 112 134 79 89 119 80 288 0.10 101 Wilde Lake 3 13 95 43 141 104 46 138 288 0.10 102 North Hagerstown 6 10 77 73 112 106 71 113 290 0.10 103 Owings Mills 3 7 98 58 86 91 109 90 290 0.10 104 Hammond 2 12 111 35 137 111 56 130 297 0.10 105 La Plata 6 7 93 114 84 98 112 92 302 0.10 106 Brunswick 9 7 53 80 74 87 138 81 306 0.10 107 Joppatowne 5 7 83 89 93 101 115 93 309 0.10 108 Chesapeake-BC 6 9 124 127 108 107 94 111 312 0.10 109 Glen Burnie 2 11 102 34 113 115 72 127 314 0.10 110 Edmondson 4 6 129 145 82 96 135 85 316 0.10 111 Bohemia Manor 7 7 82 111 85 103 128 89 320 0.10 112 Parkville 2 11 118 83 130 117 83 128 328 0.10 113 Patterson 4 7 125 135 95 112 122 96 330 0.10 114 Frederick 5 10 75 68 118 113 105 114 332 0.10 115 North County 2 13 89 27 124 114 82 139 335 0.10 116 North Point 2 11 133 93 129 122 81 132 335 0.10 117 Cambridge SD 4 10 97 64 105 109 117 110 336 0.10 118 Meade 0 13 120 29 131 130 63 146 339 0.10 119 Milford Mill 4 9 128 140 116 116 110 115 341 0.10 120 Thomas Stone 2 11 132 102 134 123 85 133 341 0.10 121 MJ McDonough 4 9 121 112 111 118 113 116 347 0.10 122 Springbrook 4 8 106 104 104 120 130 98 348 0.10 123 Francis Scott Ke 1 11 91 31 120 124 104 123 351 0.10 124 Kenwood 7 9 90 97 110 108 136 107 351 0.10 125 SouthWestern 1 4 140 133 68 136 147 70 353 0.10 126 Magruder 4 9 108 107 115 119 127 108 354 0.10 127 Aberdeen 1 12 126 77 140 127 87 142 356 0.10 128 Blair 3 12 119 96 142 126 102 136 364 0.10 129 Wicomico 0 12 127 54 145 134 88 144 366 0.10 130 Southside Academ 2 6 135 147 89 129 148 91 368 0.10 131 Digital Harbor 1 7 141 122 98 133 140 99 372 0.10 132 Rockville 6 8 100 125 100 128 143 101 372 0.10 133 Westlake 2 11 142 105 135 131 106 135 372 0.10 134 New Town 2 9 137 144 119 125 132 119 376 0.10 135 Lackey 0 13 144 98 147 142 93 147 382 0.10 136 Western STES 2 11 138 141 138 135 118 134 387 0.10 137 North Caroline 2 10 114 78 126 141 123 124 388 0.10 138 Northwood 4 9 110 120 117 132 139 117 388 0.10 139 Carver A&T 1 12 145 136 146 139 111 145 395 0.10 140 Catoctin 1 11 117 67 136 138 121 137 396 0.10 141 Randallstown 2 10 136 132 128 137 133 126 396 0.10 142 Lake Clifton 0 8 147 130 114 145 144 112 401 0.10 143 Perryville 2 10 116 106 127 140 137 125 402 0.10 144 South Hagerstown 0 12 134 60 139 143 126 141 410 0.10 145 Kennedy 2 11 130 117 133 146 142 131 419 0.10 146 Edgewood 1 12 131 91 144 144 134 143 421 0.10 147 Einstein 2 11 122 119 132 147 146 129 422 0.10 148 Wheaton 0 13 146 118 148 148 145 148 441 0.10