Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7971039    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 81.3)    13- 4   
 319 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 79.5)     8-11   
 323 A Edison                 VA    Nationl (10- 5, 90.5)     9- 4   
 325 H Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     4- 5  o
 329 A Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 79.8)    16- 8   
 331 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 9- 5, 86.3)    17- 7   
 404 H Westfield              VA    Concord ( 7- 8, 91.5)     4-10   
 414 H Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-13, 62.0)    18- 0   
 416 A North Harford          MD 32 North   (10- 5, 90.4)     4- 9   
 426 H Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 6-11, 81.1)    14- 6   
 428 A Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 77.0)    15- 2   
 430 H St Albans              DC    IAC     ( 9-13, 88.7)     3- 7   
 502 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 72.1)    14- 1   
 503 A Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 74.5)    15- 4   
 506 H Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-13, 62.0)    18- 2   
 509 H Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 6-11, 81.1)     9- 6   
 513 H Edison                 VA    Nationl (10- 5, 90.5)    13-10   
 517 H Herndon                VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 89.6)     8- 7  o
 519 H West Springfield       VA    Patriot (12- 8, 92.8)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H McLean                 13- 4       9     9          -0.13
   319 A Bishop O'Connell        8-11      -3     9          n/a  
   323 A Edison                  9- 4       5     0    ++     5.52
   325 H Chantilly               4- 5  o   -1    -9    +++    8.42
   329 A Marshall               16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00
   331 H Washington-Lee         17- 7      10     4    ++     5.85
   404 H Westfield               4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.91
   414 H Wakefield HS           18- 0      18    28           0.00
   416 A North Harford           4- 9      -5     0          n/a  
   426 H Mount Vernon           14- 6       8     9          -1.31
   428 A Hayfield               15- 2      13    13           0.00
   430 H St Albans               3- 7      -4     1          n/a  
   502 A J.E.B. Stuart          14- 1      13    17           0.00
   503 A Falls Church           15- 4      11    15           0.00
   506 H Wakefield HS           18- 2      16    28           0.00
   509 H Mount Vernon            9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.31
   513 H Edison                 13-10       3     0    +      3.10
   517 H Herndon                 8- 7  o    1     0           0.21
   519 H West Springfield        8-11      -3    -2          -0.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Bishop O'Connell        8-11      -3     9    ---        
   509 H Mount Vernon            9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.31
   404 H Westfield               4-10      -6    -1    --    -4.91
   416 A North Harford           4- 9      -5     0    --         
   430 H St Albans               3- 7      -4     1    --         
   329 A Marshall               16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Chantilly               4- 5  o   -1    -9    +++    8.42
   323 A Edison                  9- 4       5     0    ++     5.52
   331 H Washington-Lee         17- 7      10     4    ++     5.85
   513 H Edison                 13-10       3     0    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.23 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.78 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/