Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1287384    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Newington              CT L          ( 5-11, 71.2)    12- 2   
 409 H Simsbury               CT L          (15- 5, 89.0)     7- 4   
 414 A North Haven            CT M          ( 6-10, 73.8)    11- 6   
 416 H Southington            CT L          (11- 7, 83.5)    11- 7   
 421 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 6-10, 78.6)    11- 6   
 426 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (10- 9, 84.6)     6-11   
 430 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          (11- 8, 85.2)     5- 3   
 502 A Shelton                CT L          ( 8-10, 75.2)    15- 4   
 505 H Hamden                 CT L          (12- 6, 80.0)    10- 8   
 507 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (18- 5, 93.4)     2-14   
 509 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 7- 9, 76.8)    11- 5   
 513 H Guilford               CT M          (10-10, 82.8)     8- 5   
 516 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (11-10, 84.4)     6- 9   
 519 A West Haven             CT L          ( 5-11, 62.8)    15- 0   
 521 A Branford               CT M          (10- 9, 79.3)    10- 8   
 523 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (10- 9, 84.6)     9-11   
 525 H Wilbur Cross           CT L          ( 0-16, 55.2)    11- 0   
 601 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          (11- 8, 85.2)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Newington              12- 2      10    12           0.00
   409 H Simsbury                7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.93
   414 A North Haven            11- 6       5     9    --    -4.98
   416 H Southington            11- 7       4     2           1.49
   421 H Amity Regional         11- 6       5     7    -     -2.42
   426 A Daniel Hand-Madison     6-11      -5     0    --    -4.09
   430 A Conard-West Hartford    5- 3       2    -1    +      3.48
   502 A Shelton                15- 4      11     8           1.47
   505 H Hamden                 10- 8       2     6    --    -4.01
   507 A Fairfield Prep          2-14     -12    -9          -0.34
   509 A Notre Dame-West Haven  11- 5       6     6          -0.91
   513 H Guilford                8- 5       3     3          -0.28
   516 A Cheshire HS             6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.30
   519 A West Haven             15- 0      15    20           0.00
   521 A Branford               10- 8       2     4    -     -2.40
   523 A Daniel Hand-Madison     9-11      -2     0          -1.09
   525 H Wilbur Cross           11- 0      11    30           0.00
   601 H Conard-West Hartford    7-11      -4     0    --    -4.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A North Haven            11- 6       5     9    --    -4.98
   426 A Daniel Hand-Madison     6-11      -5     0    --    -4.09
   505 H Hamden                 10- 8       2     6    --    -4.01
   601 H Conard-West Hartford    7-11      -4     0    --    -4.85
   421 H Amity Regional         11- 6       5     7    -     -2.42
   516 A Cheshire HS             6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.30
   521 A Branford               10- 8       2     4    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Simsbury                7- 4       3    -2    ++     5.93
   430 A Conard-West Hartford    5- 3       2    -1    +      3.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.90 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.16 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/