Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Chris Schmehl         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8570557    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (14-10, 85.5)     5- 4   
 329 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (14- 5, 88.1)     6-18   
 331 H Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   ( 8-10, 82.5)    10- 9   
 401 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (16- 5, 87.1)     7-17   
 404 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 80.3)    11-16   
 406 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (16- 5, 89.8)     2-17   
 409 H Unionville             PA    ChesMon (10-10, 86.1)     1-13   
 411 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 6- 9, 76.2)    10- 3   
 415 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 69.5)    15- 8   
 416 H Easton                 PA    LehighV ( 3-14, 71.7)    12-11   
 419 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (22- 2, 99.9)     3-21   
 420 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 80.7)     8-17   
 425 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (21- 4, 96.7)     1-19   
 427 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 7, 83.1)    12-13   
 429 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-17, 61.7)    17- 2   
 503 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 67.7)    13- 0   
 505 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb (11- 8, 81.6)    11- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Cumberland Valley       5- 4       1    -6    +++    7.99
   329 H Penn Manor              6-18     -12    -9          -0.56
   331 H Wilson West Lawn       10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.92
   401 A Hershey                 7-17     -10    -8          -1.40
   404 A Elizabethtown          11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.18
   406 A Ephrata                 2-17     -15   -11           0.00
   409 H Unionville              1-13     -12    -7          n/a  
   411 A Lampeter-Strasburg     10- 3       7     2    ++     4.70
   415 H Lancaster Mennonite    15- 8       7     9    -     -2.10
   416 H Easton                 12-11       1     7          n/a  
   419 H Manheim Township        3-21     -18   -21           0.00
   420 H Cocalico                8-17      -9    -2    ---   -6.89
   425 H Hempfield               1-19     -18   -18           0.00
   427 A Conestoga Valley       12-13      -1    -4    +      3.59
   429 A Garden Spot            17- 2      15    16           0.00
   503 H Cedar Crest            13- 0      13    10           0.00
   505 A Lancaster Cou Day      11- 8       3    -3    +++    6.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Easton                 12-11       1     7    ---        
   420 H Cocalico                8-17      -9    -2    ---   -6.89
   404 A Elizabethtown          11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.18
   409 H Unionville              1-13     -12    -7    -          
   415 H Lancaster Mennonite    15- 8       7     9    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Cumberland Valley       5- 4       1    -6    +++    7.99
   505 A Lancaster Cou Day      11- 8       3    -3    +++    6.12
   331 H Wilson West Lawn       10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.92
   411 A Lampeter-Strasburg     10- 3       7     2    ++     4.70
   427 A Conestoga Valley       12-13      -1    -4    +      3.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.57 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.86 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.3
/