Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.6278458    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 99.1)     2-16   
 401 H East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.4)    10- 9   
 406 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 72.7)    14-12   
 409 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 84.6)    10-15   
 412 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.9)     3-15   
 414 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 63.8)    18- 8   
 416 N New Fairfield          CT M          (17- 5, 87.4)     8-17   
 418 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 89.8)     7-18   
 427 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.5)     5-11   
 429 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.9)    11-13   
 504 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     5-22   
 506 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 88.1)     4-12   
 510 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.1)     4-15   
 512 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 78.3)     4-12   
 514 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 84.3)    14-16   
 516 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 82.6)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Smithtown West          2-16     -14   -23           0.00
   401 H East Hampton           10- 9       1    -1    +      2.68
   406 H Copiague               14-12       2     3          -1.02
   409 H North Babylon          10-15      -5    -8    +      3.94
   412 A Bay Shore               3-15     -12   -14           0.00
   414 A Brentwood              18- 8      10    11           0.00
   416 N New Fairfield           8-17      -9   -12          n/a  
   418 H East Islip              7-18     -11   -14           0.00
   427 H Smithtown East          5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   429 A Commack                11-13      -2    -3           1.76
   504 H West Islip              5-22     -17   -24           0.00
   506 H Half Hollow Hills East  4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
   510 H Ward Melville           4-15     -11   -23           0.00
   512 A Longwood                4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.85
   514 H Walt Whitman           14-16      -2    -8    +++    6.60
   516 A Patchogue-Medford       9-13      -4    -7    +      3.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Longwood                4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Walt Whitman           14-16      -2    -8    +++    6.60
   427 H Smithtown East          5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   401 H East Hampton           10- 9       1    -1    +      2.68
   409 H North Babylon          10-15      -5    -8    +      3.94
   506 H Half Hollow Hills East  4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
   516 A Patchogue-Medford       9-13      -4    -7    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.43 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.83 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/