Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7982101    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 86.5)    12-15   
 406 A Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 64.4)    12- 0   
 408 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 8, 78.8)     7- 6   
 411 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 97.0)     2-13   
 413 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 82.9)     8- 9   
 428 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 68.7)    16- 0   
 502 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 78.1)    13- 6   
 504 H Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 81.7)     9-12   
 506 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 87.0)     7-10   
 507 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (12- 5, 90.9)    10-14   
 509 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 83.1)     9- 8   
 511 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 6, 94.9)     4-23   
 512 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 92.2)     7-12   
 516 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 81.5)     7- 4   
 518 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 73.8)    19- 6   
 519 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 92.5)     6-11   
 524 A Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 81.7)    11-10   
 527 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 97.0)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H St Francis             12-15      -3    -3           0.30
   406 A Lew-Port               12- 0      12    18           0.00
   408 H East Aurora             7- 6       1     4    -     -3.39
   411 A Hamburg                 2-13     -11   -14           0.00
   413 A Sweet Home              8- 9      -1     0          -0.77
   428 H North Tonawanda        16- 0      16    14           0.00
   502 A Williamsville South    13- 6       7     4    +      2.50
   504 H Iroquois Central        9-12      -3     1    --    -4.57
   506 H Williamsville North     7-10      -3    -3           0.79
   507 H Nichols                10-14      -4    -7    +      3.68
   509 H Lake Shore Central      9- 8       1     0           0.84
   511 H Niagara Wheatfield      4-23     -19   -11           0.00
   512 A Amherst Central         7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.58
   516 H West Seneca West        7- 4       3     1           1.23
   518 H Grand Island           19- 6      13     9           0.55
   519 A West Seneca East        6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.87
   524 A Iroquois Central       11-10       1     0           0.04
   527 A Hamburg                 3-17     -14   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Iroquois Central        9-12      -3     1    --    -4.57
   408 H East Aurora             7- 6       1     4    -     -3.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Amherst Central         7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.58
   519 A West Seneca East        6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.87
   502 A Williamsville South    13- 6       7     4    +      2.50
   507 H Nichols                10-14      -4    -7    +      3.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.93 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.12 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/