Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Hoppey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.3042450    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 82.6)    18- 6   
 402 H Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (19- 3, 99.9)    10- 7   
 406 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 89.1)    13- 5   
 409 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.5)    14- 4   
 413 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 99.1)    10- 9  o
 414 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 77.0)    20- 2   
 418 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.9)    12- 5   
 427 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     6- 7  o
 429 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.1)    11- 3   
 430 H Greenwich HS           CT L          (13- 8, 92.7)    11- 5   
 503 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 97.8)    14-11   
 504 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 88.1)     7- 2   
 510 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 75.4)    15- 4   
 512 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 84.3)    17- 5   
 514 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.6)    11- 4   
 516 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 89.8)    10- 5   
 524 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 89.1)    12- 9   
 527 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 99.1)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Patchogue-Medford      18- 6      12    16           0.00
   402 H Garden City            10- 7       3     0          n/a  
   406 H Northport              13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   409 A Smithtown East         14- 4      10     9           0.69
   413 A Smithtown West         10- 9  o    1     0           1.30
   414 H Half Hollow Hills West 20- 2      18    22           0.00
   418 A Bay Shore              12- 5       7     8          -1.91
   427 H West Islip              6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.46
   429 H Connetquot             11- 3       8     6           1.74
   430 H Greenwich HS           11- 5       6     7          n/a  
   503 H Sachem North           14-11       3     1           1.40
   504 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 2       5    10    --    -5.00
   510 A William Floyd          15- 4      11    23           0.00
   512 A Walt Whitman           17- 5      12    14           0.00
   514 H Sachem East            11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00
   516 A East Islip             10- 5       5     9    --    -4.04
   524 H Northport              12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   527 H Smithtown West          7-15      -8     0    ---   -8.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 H Northport              12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   527 H Smithtown West          7-15      -8     0    ---   -8.23
   504 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 2       5    10    --    -5.00
   516 A East Islip             10- 5       5     9    --    -4.04
   406 H Northport              13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   514 H Sachem East            11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Garden City            10- 7       3     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.09 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.66 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   17.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.200.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/