Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.4421310    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 80.9)     7-12   
 404 H Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  (12- 7, 84.4)     1-14   
 406 A Barnegat Township      NJ    Grp-I   ( 1-17, 60.3)    14- 0   
 408 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 6- 7, 73.2)     8-10   
 411 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 6- 8, 73.8)    11-17   
 413 A Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 8, 75.9)     6-10   
 418 A Long Branch            NJ    Grp-I   ( 0-18, 51.2)    18- 1   
 420 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 90.9)     3-18   
 423 H Wall Township          NJ    Grp-III (13- 5, 81.6)     6-17   
 426 H Jackson Liberty        NJ    Grp-II  ( 8- 8, 72.5)    11- 5   
 427 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (15- 6, 81.5)     2-14   
 429 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 8, 69.7)     6- 7 2o
 504 H Shore Regional         NJ    Grp-I   ( 8- 9, 69.7)     5- 6   
 506 A Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-II  ( 6- 9, 71.4)     7- 5   
 509 H Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 67.9)    10- 9   
 512 A Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9- 5, 77.3)     7- 8   
 517 H Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 80.9)     5- 6   
 520 H Neptune                NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-12, 66.7)    14- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Red Bank Catholic       7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.12
   404 H Holmdel                 1-14     -13   -12           0.00
   406 A Barnegat Township      14- 0      14     9           0.67
   408 A Toms River East         8-10      -2    -3           1.54
   411 H Monsignor Donovan      11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.99
   413 A Manasquan               6-10      -4    -6    +      2.26
   418 A Long Branch            18- 1      17    18           0.00
   420 H Rumson-Fair Haven       3-18     -15   -19           0.00
   423 H Wall Township           6-17     -11    -9          -0.20
   426 H Jackson Liberty        11- 5       6     0    +++    6.77
   427 A Red Bank Regional       2-14     -12   -11           0.00
   429 A St Rose Belmar          6- 7 2o   -1     0          -0.91
   504 H Shore Regional          5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.04
   506 A Ocean Township          7- 5       2    -1    +      3.71
   509 H Marlboro               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.86
   512 A Toms River North        7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.66
   517 H Colts Neck              5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.10
   520 H Neptune                14- 8       6     5           0.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Monsignor Donovan      11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.99
   504 H Shore Regional          5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.04
   509 H Marlboro               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Jackson Liberty        11- 5       6     0    +++    6.77
   512 A Toms River North        7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.66
   517 H Colts Neck              5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.10
   401 H Red Bank Catholic       7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.12
   413 A Manasquan               6-10      -4    -6    +      2.26
   506 A Ocean Township          7- 5       2    -1    +      3.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.70 Local Power Rank...........   140
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.21 Local SOS Rank.............   138
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   130
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   154
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   146
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/