Conf =  CentMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Nate Skermont         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0038223    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Algonquin              MA 2          (20- 5, 99.9)     6-11   
 409 H Grafton                MA 2          (20- 3, 98.5)     6-14   
 412 A Wachusett              MA 2          (11-11, 92.5)     5- 9   
 414 H Marlborough            MA 2          ( 2-18, 82.1)    14- 8   
 416 A Westborough            MA 2          ( 9-10, 90.9)     8- 9  o
 421 A Nipmuc Regional        MA 2          (15- 4, 94.3)    10- 9  o
 423 H Tantasqua Regional     MA 2          ( 8-12, 84.2)    11- 2   
 426 A Nashoba Regional       MA 2          (12- 9, 93.7)     6- 2   
 429 A North Middlesex        MA 2          ( 4-14, 84.7)    13- 2   
 430 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 6, 99.7)     5-12   
 503 A Westborough            MA 2          ( 9-10, 90.9)     4- 6   
 505 H Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          (13- 7, 94.3)     7- 5   
 509 A Groton-Dunstable       MA 2          (13- 7, 94.3)     2- 9   
 510 H Algonquin              MA 2          (20- 5, 99.9)     3- 4   
 512 H Wachusett              MA 2          (11-11, 92.5)    11- 6   
 515 A St Peter Marian        MA 2          ( 4-12, 81.4)     9- 1   
 517 N Marlborough            MA 2          ( 2-18, 82.1)    12- 2   
 519 N Nashoba Regional       MA 2          (12- 9, 93.7)     8- 3   
 523 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (15- 7, 89.4)     5-17   
 525 H North Middlesex        MA 2          ( 4-14, 84.7)     8- 3   
 603 A Nashoba Regional       MA 2          (12- 9, 93.7)     4- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Algonquin               6-11      -5    -6           1.86
   409 H Grafton                 6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.60
   412 A Wachusett               5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.55
   414 H Marlborough            14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   416 A Westborough             8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.10
   421 A Nipmuc Regional        10- 9  o    1    -1    +      2.24
   423 H Tantasqua Regional     11- 2       9     8           0.06
   426 A Nashoba Regional        6- 2       4     0    ++     4.63
   429 A North Middlesex        13- 2      11     8           1.62
   430 A St Johns Shrewsbury     5-12      -7    -6          -0.32
   503 A Westborough             4- 6      -2     2    --    -4.10
   505 H Groton-Dunstable        7- 5       2    -1    +      3.24
   509 A Groton-Dunstable        2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.71
   510 H Algonquin               3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.80
   512 H Wachusett              11- 6       5     0    ++     4.39
   515 A St Peter Marian         9- 1       8    11    -     -2.00
   517 N Marlborough            12- 2      10    10           0.00
   519 N Nashoba Regional        8- 3       5     0    ++     5.61
   523 H Acton Boxborough        5-17     -12     4          n/a  
   525 H North Middlesex         8- 3       5     8    -     -3.43
   603 A Nashoba Regional        4- 6      -2     0          -1.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Acton Boxborough        5-17     -12     4    ---        
   412 A Wachusett               5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.55
   414 H Marlborough            14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   503 A Westborough             4- 6      -2     2    --    -4.10
   509 A Groton-Dunstable        2- 9      -7    -1    --    -5.71
   409 H Grafton                 6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.60
   416 A Westborough             8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.10
   515 A St Peter Marian         9- 1       8    11    -     -2.00
   525 H North Middlesex         8- 3       5     8    -     -3.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Nashoba Regional        6- 2       4     0    ++     4.63
   510 H Algonquin               3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.80
   512 H Wachusett              11- 6       5     0    ++     4.39
   519 N Nashoba Regional        8- 3       5     0    ++     5.61
   421 A Nipmuc Regional        10- 9  o    1    -1    +      2.24
   505 H Groton-Dunstable        7- 5       2    -1    +      3.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.07 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.27 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/