Conf =  Sec4                      Region = MN 1  East             
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Travis Sanders        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8976440    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 H Rochester Marshall     MN 1  Big9    ( 7- 5, 82.4)    13- 3   
 415 H Breck                  MN 1  Indep   ( 4-10, 83.9)    10- 8   
 419 A Blake                  MN 1  Indep   (13- 3, 97.5)     6-10   
 420 H East Ridge/Park        MN 1  East    ( 6- 8, 82.9)     5- 3   
 427 H White Bear Lake        MN 1  East    (12- 5, 90.4)     5- 1   
 502 A Forest Lake            MN 1  East    ( 1-12, 68.8)    16- 0   
 504 A Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 8- 7, 87.2)     8-13   
 509 A Roseville              MN 1  East    ( 4- 9, 77.1)    17- 1   
 511 H Mounds View            MN 1  East    (11- 3, 89.0)     4- 8   
 513 A Blaine                 MN 1  NoWest  (12- 5, 91.3)    12- 8   
 516 A Woodbury               MN 1  East    ( 7- 9, 84.4)     6- 7   
 518 H Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic (13- 2, 93.3)     6- 7 2o
 524 H Anoka                  MN 1  NoWest  ( 5- 9, 77.0)    17- 5   
 526 A Blaine                 MN 1  NoWest  (12- 5, 91.3)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Rochester Marshall     13- 3      10     7    +      2.41
   415 H Breck                  10- 8       2     6    --    -4.14
   419 A Blake                   6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.17
   420 H East Ridge/Park         5- 3       2     7    --    -5.16
   427 H White Bear Lake         5- 1       4     0    ++     4.38
   502 A Forest Lake            16- 0      16    19           0.00
   504 A Prior Lake              8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.11
   509 A Roseville              17- 1      16    11           0.00
   511 H Mounds View             4- 8      -4     1    --    -5.07
   513 A Blaine                 12- 8       4    -2    +++    6.99
   516 A Woodbury                6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.89
   518 H Mahtomedi               6- 7 2o   -1    -3    +      2.29
   524 H Anoka                  17- 5      12    12           0.00
   526 A Blaine                  3- 6      -3    -2          -0.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Prior Lake              8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.11
   415 H Breck                  10- 8       2     6    --    -4.14
   420 H East Ridge/Park         5- 3       2     7    --    -5.16
   511 H Mounds View             4- 8      -4     1    --    -5.07
   516 A Woodbury                6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Blaine                 12- 8       4    -2    +++    6.99
   419 A Blake                   6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.17
   427 H White Bear Lake         5- 1       4     0    ++     4.38
   412 H Rochester Marshall     13- 3      10     7    +      2.41
   518 H Mahtomedi               6- 7 2o   -1    -3    +      2.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.18 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.47 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/