Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Marc Moreau           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1567993    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Monroe Township        NJ    Grp-III (13- 7, 82.0)    16- 1   
 402 A Ramapo                 NJ    Grp-II  (13- 9, 87.9)     7- 8   
 404 H Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private (11- 5, 90.3)    10- 7   
 407 A East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-11, 79.3)     9- 1   
 409 A Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 94.5)     8-17   
 412 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 6, 84.7)     9- 4   
 414 H J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 2-14, 58.5)    16- 1   
 416 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7- 8, 87.6)     5- 8   
 418 A Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-10, 85.0)     8-10   
 419 A Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-12, 66.8)    16- 2   
 423 A North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 0-12, 60.2)     1- 0   
 426 H Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7- 8, 78.7)    17- 5   
 428 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 5, 91.8)     6- 5   
 430 N Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (14- 7, 95.7)    11- 3   
 502 H Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (15- 7, 91.3)    11-12   
 504 H Central Bucks East     PA    SubCont (22- 3, 94.6)     9-11   
 508 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (19- 2, 97.2)     7-12   
 510 H East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-11, 79.3)    10- 4   
 512 N South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 6, 84.7)     8- 4   
 520 H Newark Academy         NJ    Grp-B   (11- 9, 80.4)    11-10   
 526 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7- 8, 87.6)    14- 6   
 528 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (17- 5, 95.5)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Monroe Township        16- 1      15     8           1.36
   402 A Ramapo                  7- 8      -1     0          -1.60
   404 H Rutgers Prep           10- 7       3     0    +      2.65
   407 A East Brunswick          9- 1       8     9          -1.17
   409 A Mountain Lakes          8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.02
   412 H South Brunswick         9- 4       5     5          -0.96
   414 H J.P. Stevens           16- 1      15    32           0.00
   416 A Seton Hall Prep         5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.93
   418 A Bergen Catholic         8-10      -2     3    --    -5.53
   419 A Edison                 16- 2      14    21           0.00
   426 H Old Bridge             17- 5      12    11           0.00
   428 A Boston College HS       6- 5       1    -3          n/a  
   430 N Bishop Guertin         11- 3       8    -6          n/a  
   502 H Don Bosco Prep         11-12      -1     0          -0.34
   504 H Central Bucks East      9-11      -2    -4          n/a  
   508 H Immaculata              7-12      -5    -6           1.59
   510 H East Brunswick         10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   512 N South Brunswick         8- 4       4     4          -0.90
   520 H Newark Academy         11-10       1    10    ---   -9.00
   526 A Seton Hall Prep        14- 6       8     0    +++    7.07
   528 A Delbarton               7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H Newark Academy         11-10       1    10    ---   -9.00
   418 A Bergen Catholic         8-10      -2     3    --    -5.53
   510 H East Brunswick         10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   409 A Mountain Lakes          8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.02
   416 A Seton Hall Prep         5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 N Bishop Guertin         11- 3       8    -6    +++        
   526 A Seton Hall Prep        14- 6       8     0    +++    7.07
   428 A Boston College HS       6- 5       1    -3    ++         
   528 A Delbarton               7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.98
   404 H Rutgers Prep           10- 7       3     0    +      2.65
   504 H Central Bucks East      9-11      -2    -4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.57 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.05 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    45
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   155
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/