Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Jason Stanton         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2774200    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 89.0)     8-18   
 405 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)    15-12   
 407 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 73.1)    15- 1   
 408 A Erie-McDowell          PA    Div2-S2 ( 6-13, 79.3)    13- 3   
 409 A Cathedral Prep         PA    Div2-S2 ( 6-14, 79.7)    18- 5   
 411 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (10-10, 85.5)    12- 9   
 413 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 83.2)    18-16   
 427 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (18- 4, 96.2)     6-12   
 504 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (12- 5, 90.9)    14-21   
 506 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (12- 5, 90.9)    13-12   
 509 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (10-10, 85.5)     8-10   
 511 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 83.2)    20-21  o
 512 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.9)     8-14   
 516 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (18- 4, 96.2)     3-15   
 517 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY P  Sec 6   ( 0-11, 65.8)    25- 9   
 518 A St Mary's Lancaster    NY P  Sec 6   ( 0-11, 65.8)    20- 2   
 524 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (12- 5, 90.9)    14-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Aquinas Institute       8-18     -10    -3          n/a  
   405 A Williamsville East     15-12       3     3          -0.30
   407 A Lockport               15- 1      14    13           0.00
   408 A Erie-McDowell          13- 3      10     6          n/a  
   409 A Cathedral Prep         18- 5      13     6          n/a  
   411 A St Joseph Collegiate   12- 9       3     0    +      2.27
   413 A Canisius               18-16       2     3          -1.03
   427 H Timon St Jude           6-12      -6    -9    +      3.37
   504 A Nichols                14-21      -7    -4    -     -2.31
   506 H Nichols                13-12       1    -4    ++     5.07
   509 H St Joseph Collegiate    8-10      -2     1    -     -3.34
   511 H Canisius               20-21  o   -1     3    --    -4.64
   512 H Eden                    8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.96
   516 A Timon St Jude           3-15     -12    -9          -0.02
   517 H St Mary's Lancaster    25- 9      16    21           0.00
   518 A St Mary's Lancaster    20- 2      18    20           0.00
   524 A Nichols                14-15      -1    -4    +      3.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Aquinas Institute       8-18     -10    -3    ---        
   511 H Canisius               20-21  o   -1     3    --    -4.64
   512 H Eden                    8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.96
   504 A Nichols                14-21      -7    -4    -     -2.31
   509 H St Joseph Collegiate    8-10      -2     1    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Nichols                13-12       1    -4    ++     5.07
   408 A Erie-McDowell          13- 3      10     6    +          
   409 A Cathedral Prep         18- 5      13     6    +          
   411 A St Joseph Collegiate   12- 9       3     0    +      2.27
   427 H Timon St Jude           6-12      -6    -9    +      3.37
   524 A Nichols                14-15      -1    -4    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.54 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.76 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   11.0
/