Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    WCAL             
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Bill Kurz             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9578400    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Menlo-Atherton         CA    SCVAL-D (14- 6, 86.2)     2-11   
 302 H Saratoga               CA    SCVAL-D ( 4-12, 74.3)    16-12   
 304 H Scotts Valley          CA    SCCAL   (12- 7, 76.7)     5- 6   
 307 A Gunn                   CA    SCVAL-E ( 6- 9, 70.6)     5- 6   
 309 H Bellarmine Prep        CA    WCAL    (19- 3, 95.8)     1-16   
 311 H Archbishop Mitty       CA    WCAL    ( 3-11, 73.6)     9- 6   
 314 A Sacred Heart Prep      CA    SCVAL-E (16- 4, 82.7)     9-13   
 316 A Serra-San Mateo        CA    WCAL    (11- 8, 82.3)     8-11   
 318 A Aptos                  CA    SCCAL   ( 9- 9, 71.5)    14- 6   
 321 H Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (19- 3, 99.9)     3-18   
 326 A Los Gatos              CA    SCVAL-D ( 5-11, 75.5)    10- 9   
 330 A Archbishop Mitty       CA    WCAL    ( 3-11, 73.6)     5- 6   
 401 A Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (19- 3, 99.9)     1-16   
 406 A Bellarmine Prep        CA    WCAL    (19- 3, 95.8)     2-19   
 413 H Serra-San Mateo        CA    WCAL    (11- 8, 82.3)     6-14   
 430 A Mountain View          CA    SCVAL-D (14- 5, 88.1)    10-15   
 504 A Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (19- 3, 99.9)     1-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Menlo-Atherton          2-11      -9   -11           1.00
   302 H Saratoga               16-12       4     0    +      3.86
   304 H Scotts Valley           5- 6      -1    -2           1.24
   307 A Gunn                    5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.02
   309 H Bellarmine Prep         1-16     -15   -21           0.00
   311 H Archbishop Mitty        9- 6       3     0    +      2.12
   314 A Sacred Heart Prep       9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.07
   316 A Serra-San Mateo         8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.70
   318 A Aptos                  14- 6       8     2    ++     5.95
   321 H Saint Ignatius Prep     3-18     -15   -25           0.00
   326 A Los Gatos              10- 9       1    -1    +      2.86
   330 A Archbishop Mitty        5- 6      -1     0          -1.00
   401 A Saint Ignatius Prep     1-16     -15   -26           0.00
   406 A Bellarmine Prep         2-19     -17   -22           0.00
   413 H Serra-San Mateo         6-14      -8    -7          -0.18
   430 A Mountain View          10-15      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   504 A Saint Ignatius Prep     1-19     -18   -26           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Gunn                    5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Sacred Heart Prep       9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.07
   316 A Serra-San Mateo         8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.70
   318 A Aptos                  14- 6       8     2    ++     5.95
   430 A Mountain View          10-15      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   302 H Saratoga               16-12       4     0    +      3.86
   311 H Archbishop Mitty        9- 6       3     0    +      2.12
   326 A Los Gatos              10- 9       1    -1    +      2.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.03 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.63 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3
/