Region = VT 1  NVAC             
   Nickname = T Crimson Tide         Coach  =   Bryan Hirschmon       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8022842    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Rutland                VT 1  MVLI    (10- 7, 88.3)    11- 9   
 416 A Champlain Valley       VT 1  NVAC    (18- 1, 99.9)     6-15   
 422 A Mt Mansfield Union     VT 1  NVAC    ( 4-12, 84.1)     5- 8   
 423 A South Burlington       VT 1  NVAC    ( 9- 8, 87.9)     3- 5   
 426 H Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    (16- 3, 95.7)     1- 5   
 428 A Burlington             VT 1  NVAC    ( 2-15, 81.0)    10- 8   
 430 H Bellows Free Academy   VT 1  NVAC    ( 6- 8, 86.5)    10-11   
 502 H U-32                   VT 2  NVAC    (14- 2, 96.9)    14- 3   
 503 A Middlebury Union       VT 1  NVAC    ( 1-14, 79.0)    15-10   
 507 H Mt Mansfield Union     VT 1  NVAC    ( 4-12, 84.1)    13- 4   
 511 H Champlain Valley       VT 1  NVAC    (18- 1, 99.9)     9-20   
 513 H South Burlington       VT 1  NVAC    ( 9- 8, 87.9)    13- 3   
 518 A Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    (16- 3, 95.7)     6- 9   
 521 H Burlington             VT 1  NVAC    ( 2-15, 81.0)    11- 9   
 525 A Bellows Free Academy   VT 1  NVAC    ( 6- 8, 86.5)    11-10   
 601 H Mt Mansfield Union     VT 1  NVAC    ( 4-12, 84.1)    11- 6   
 603 A Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    (16- 3, 95.7)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Rutland                11- 9       2     0           1.53
   416 A Champlain Valley        6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   422 A Mt Mansfield Union      5- 8      -3     4    ---   -7.69
   423 A South Burlington        3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.86
   426 H Essex Junction          1- 5      -4    -5           1.56
   428 A Burlington             10- 8       2     7    --    -5.71
   430 H Bellows Free Academy   10-11      -1     3    --    -4.59
   502 H U-32                   14- 3      11    -6          n/a  
   503 A Middlebury Union       15-10       5     9    --    -4.78
   507 H Mt Mansfield Union     13- 4       9     6    +      2.95
   511 H Champlain Valley        9-20     -11    -9          -0.20
   513 H South Burlington       13- 3      10     2    +++    7.78
   518 A Essex Junction          6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.92
   521 H Burlington             11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.07
   525 A Bellows Free Academy   11-10       1     2          -1.23
   601 H Mt Mansfield Union     11- 6       5     6          -1.05
   603 A Essex Junction          4-10      -6    -6           0.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Mt Mansfield Union      5- 8      -3     4    ---   -7.69
   521 H Burlington             11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.07
   428 A Burlington             10- 8       2     7    --    -5.71
   430 H Bellows Free Academy   10-11      -1     3    --    -4.59
   503 A Middlebury Union       15-10       5     9    --    -4.78
   423 A South Burlington        3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H U-32                   14- 3      11    -6    +++        
   513 H South Burlington       13- 3      10     2    +++    7.78
   507 H Mt Mansfield Union     13- 4       9     6    +      2.95
   518 A Essex Junction          6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.42 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.63 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/