Region = NY B  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Tuskers              Coach  =   Lew Janavey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.4434814    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Iona Prep              NY NY AAA-AA  (11- 9, 89.3)     6- 7   
 406 H Ridgefield             CT L          (18- 5, 96.4)     8- 9   
 409 H New Canaan             CT M          (13- 8, 90.6)    15-11   
 412 A Rye HS                 NY B  Sec 1   (12- 6, 96.0)     7- 5   
 414 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (17- 4, 98.5)     8- 7  o
 416 N Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (15- 4, 97.9)     3-11   
 419 N Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (15- 3, 92.7)    14-11   
 421 N Cold Spring Harbor     NY C  Sec 8   (13- 5, 91.7)    12-10   
 426 H Brewster               NY B  Sec 1   ( 7-11, 87.4)    12- 4   
 429 H Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   ( 4-14, 82.9)    15- 7   
 503 A Yorktown               NY B  Sec 1   (14- 8, 98.8)     6-10   
 505 A Hendrick Hudson        NY B  Sec 1   ( 7-11, 88.5)     7- 1   
 507 A Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   ( 7-10, 89.4)    15- 8   
 510 H Arlington              NY A  Sec 1   (11- 6, 92.3)     9- 8   
 512 H John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (13- 7, 97.4)     9- 8   
 514 A Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (11- 9, 95.3)    17-16  o
 521 H Hendrick Hudson        NY B  Sec 1   ( 7-11, 88.5)    15- 7   
 523 H John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (13- 7, 97.4)    10-11  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Iona Prep               6- 7      -1     6          n/a  
   406 H Ridgefield              8- 9      -1     1          n/a  
   409 H New Canaan             15-11       4     7          n/a  
   412 A Rye HS                  7- 5       2     0           1.30
   414 A Mahopac                 8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.85
   416 N Niskayuna               3-11      -8     0          n/a  
   419 N Carthage               14-11       3     4          n/a  
   421 N Cold Spring Harbor     12-10       2     5          n/a  
   426 H Brewster               12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   429 H Putnam Valley          15- 7       8    15    -     -2.00
   503 A Yorktown                6-10      -4    -2          -1.93
   505 A Hendrick Hudson         7- 1       6     8    -     -2.18
   507 A Horace Greeley         15- 8       7     7          -0.31
   510 H Arlington               9- 8       1     5    --    -4.75
   512 H John Jay-Cross River    9- 8       1     0           0.39
   514 A Lakeland/Panas         17-16  o    1     1          -0.37
   521 H Hendrick Hudson        15- 7       8     9          -1.51
   523 H John Jay-Cross River   10-11  o   -1     0          -1.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Iona Prep               6- 7      -1     6    ---        
   416 N Niskayuna               3-11      -8     0    ---        
   510 H Arlington               9- 8       1     5    --    -4.75
   406 H Ridgefield              8- 9      -1     1    -          
   409 H New Canaan             15-11       4     7    -          
   421 N Cold Spring Harbor     12-10       2     5    -          
   426 H Brewster               12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   429 H Putnam Valley          15- 7       8    15    -     -2.00
   505 A Hendrick Hudson         7- 1       6     8    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Mahopac                 8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.36 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.39 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   13.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/