Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Lancers              Coach  =   Kevin Krieger         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7701569    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (17- 2, 98.4)     3-10   
 308 H Catalina Foothills     AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 7, 89.4)    14-11   
 311 H Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 96.3)    12-15   
 315 H Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-12, 82.1)    11-10  o
 319 A Chandler               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 6, 89.3)    15- 9   
 322 H Ponderosa              CO    DougCo  ( 3-10, 74.4)     6- 5   
 323 H Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 7, 89.5)     5- 8   
 326 H Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (19- 4, 99.9)     2-14   
 402 A Hamilton               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 3-11, 81.3)     8-11   
 406 A Horizon                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 5-11, 81.6)     6- 8   
 409 H Saguaro                AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 6, 92.2)     5- 8   
 413 A Mountain Pointe        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-13, 77.3)    13- 0   
 416 A Mesa                   AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 7, 90.6)     8- 5   
 423 H Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-12, 80.0)    15- 8   
 426 A Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 86.8)     7- 5   
 430 A Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (19- 4, 99.9)     2-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Chaparral               3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   308 H Catalina Foothills     14-11       3    -1    ++     4.03
   311 H Desert Vista           12-15      -3    -7    ++     4.92
   315 H Desert Mountain        11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.27
   319 A Chandler               15- 9       6    -2    +++    8.02
   322 H Ponderosa               6- 5       1    14          n/a  
   323 H Corona del Sol          5- 8      -3    -1          -1.91
   326 H Brophy Prep             2-14     -12   -11           0.00
   402 A Hamilton                8-11      -3     5    ---   -8.90
   406 A Horizon                 6- 8      -2     5    ---   -7.63
   409 H Saguaro                 5- 8      -3    -3           0.83
   413 A Mountain Pointe        13- 0      13     9           0.05
   416 A Mesa                    8- 5       3    -3    +++    6.34
   423 H Gilbert                15- 8       7     8          -1.38
   426 A Tucson Tanque Verde     7- 5       2     0           1.59
   430 A Brophy Prep             2-18     -16   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Ponderosa               6- 5       1    14    ---        
   402 A Hamilton                8-11      -3     5    ---   -8.90
   406 A Horizon                 6- 8      -2     5    ---   -7.63
   315 H Desert Mountain        11-10  o    1     6    --    -5.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Chandler               15- 9       6    -2    +++    8.02
   416 A Mesa                    8- 5       3    -3    +++    6.34
   308 H Catalina Foothills     14-11       3    -1    ++     4.03
   311 H Desert Vista           12-15      -3    -7    ++     4.92
   305 A Chaparral               3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.81 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.85 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/