Region = VA    RivRdg           
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   David Turk            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5385284    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A New River Valley       VA    Indep   ( 2-11, 69.6)    22- 2   
 322 A South County LC        VA    Indep   ( 7- 7, 86.8)     7- 6   
 324 A E.C. Glass             VA    Jeffsn  (18- 2, 99.9)     4- 5  o
 329 A Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA    WesVal  (15- 4, 98.0)     2- 9   
 401 A Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  ( 7-12, 86.9)    10- 5   
 405 H E.C. Glass             VA    Jeffsn  (18- 2, 99.9)     4-10   
 411 H Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 6-10, 86.0)    13-12  o
 414 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 6- 9, 86.0)    14- 5   
 420 H Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  ( 7-12, 86.9)    14- 7   
 502 A Rockbridge County      VA    Valley  ( 6-10, 86.0)    13- 8   
 506 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 6- 9, 86.0)     6- 3   
 507 H Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4-10, 83.4)    11- 6   
 510 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4-10, 83.4)     7- 8 2o
 511 H Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA    WesVal  (15- 4, 98.0)     6- 9   
 516 N Western Albemarle      VA    Jeffsn  ( 7-12, 86.9)    15- 4   
 519 A E.C. Glass             VA    Jeffsn  (18- 2, 99.9)     4- 7   
 523 A Briar Woods            VA    Dulles  (16- 5, 96.8)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A New River Valley       22- 2      20    22          n/a  
   322 A South County LC         7- 6       1     5          n/a  
   324 A E.C. Glass              4- 5  o   -1    -8    +++    7.32
   329 A Patrick Henry Roanoke   2- 9      -7    -6          n/a  
   401 A Western Albemarle      10- 5       5     4           0.34
   405 H E.C. Glass              4-10      -6    -6           0.57
   411 H Rockbridge County      13-12  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   414 H Charlottesville        14- 5       9     7           1.72
   420 H Western Albemarle      14- 7       7     6           0.59
   502 A Rockbridge County      13- 8       5     5          -0.62
   506 A Charlottesville         6- 3       3     5    -     -2.53
   507 H Monticello             11- 6       5     9    --    -4.95
   510 A Monticello              7- 8 2o   -1     8    ---   -9.20
   511 H Patrick Henry Roanoke   6- 9      -3    -5          n/a  
   516 N Western Albemarle      15- 4      11     5    ++     4.46
   519 A E.C. Glass              4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.32
   523 A Briar Woods            10-13      -3    -5    +      2.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Rockbridge County      13-12  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   510 A Monticello              7- 8 2o   -1     8    ---   -9.20
   322 A South County LC         7- 6       1     5    --         
   507 H Monticello             11- 6       5     9    --    -4.95
   506 A Charlottesville         6- 3       3     5    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A E.C. Glass              4- 5  o   -1    -8    +++    7.32
   516 N Western Albemarle      15- 4      11     5    ++     4.46
   519 A E.C. Glass              4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.32
   511 H Patrick Henry Roanoke   6- 9      -3    -5    +          
   523 A Briar Woods            10-13      -3    -5    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.45 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.76 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/