Region = MI 1                   
   Nickname = I Falcons              Coach  =   Mike Dungan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.9229736    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Okemos                 MI 2          ( 8-11, 78.9)     5- 4   
 329 A Utica Eisenhower       MI 1          (11- 7, 82.5)     6- 7   
 411 H Waterford              MI 1          ( 5- 8, 69.8)    15- 2   
 413 H Farmington             MI 2          ( 7-11, 75.6)     8- 5   
 419 H Rochester Adams        MI 2          (11- 8, 81.2)     8- 7   
 421 A Troy Athens            MI 1          (16- 6, 88.3)     4-11   
 426 H Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          ( 8-11, 82.1)     9-14   
 428 H Clarkston              MI 1          (18- 2, 89.6)     8-10   
 430 A Notre Dame Prep        MI 2          (18- 4, 88.8)     4-15   
 503 A Bloomfield Hills       MI 1          (11- 7, 82.9)    11- 8   
 505 H Lake Orion             MI 1          (10- 7, 77.3)     9- 3   
 506 H Davison                MI 2          ( 8- 9, 73.6)    14- 8   
 509 A Romeo                  MI 1          (12- 6, 80.9)    12- 3   
 511 A Troy                   MI 1          ( 4-15, 72.3)    11- 3   
 513 A Royal Oak              MI 1          ( 1-13, 64.3)    11- 4   
 518 A Northville             MI 1          (10- 8, 84.8)     9- 8  o
 524 H L'Anse Creuse North    MI 1          ( 9- 8, 78.7)     7- 6   
 531 N Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          (15- 4, 86.5)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Okemos                  5- 4       1     5    --    -4.25
   329 A Utica Eisenhower        6- 7      -1    -1           0.14
   411 H Waterford              15- 2      13    14           0.00
   413 H Farmington              8- 5       3     8    --    -5.58
   419 H Rochester Adams         8- 7       1     2          -1.94
   421 A Troy Athens             4-11      -7    -6          -0.14
   426 H Birmingham-Seaholm      9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.10
   428 H Clarkston               8-10      -2    -5    +      3.43
   430 A Notre Dame Prep         4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.62
   503 A Bloomfield Hills       11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.51
   505 H Lake Orion              9- 3       6     6          -0.91
   506 H Davison                14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   509 A Romeo                  12- 3       9     0    +++    8.47
   511 A Troy                   11- 3       8     9          -1.10
   513 A Royal Oak              11- 4       7    17    -     -3.00
   518 A Northville              9- 8  o    1    -3    ++     4.38
   524 H L'Anse Creuse North     7- 6       1     5    --    -4.51
   531 N Ann Arbor Pioneer       7- 9      -2    -3           1.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Birmingham-Seaholm      9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.10
   326 H Okemos                  5- 4       1     5    --    -4.25
   413 H Farmington              8- 5       3     8    --    -5.58
   506 H Davison                14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   524 H L'Anse Creuse North     7- 6       1     5    --    -4.51
   430 A Notre Dame Prep         4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.62
   513 A Royal Oak              11- 4       7    17    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Romeo                  12- 3       9     0    +++    8.47
   503 A Bloomfield Hills       11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.51
   518 A Northville              9- 8  o    1    -3    ++     4.38
   428 H Clarkston               8-10      -2    -5    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.79 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.79 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/