Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    MTAL             
   Nickname = A Pirates              Coach  =   Jeff Young            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.3535614    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 307 A Harvard-Westlake       CA    Mission (13- 1, 90.0)     5- 8   
 308 A Chadwick School        CA    Indep   ( 8- 6, 73.4)     8- 2   
 322 H Carmel                 CA    MTAL    ( 4- 8, 69.2)    16- 7   
 324 A York School            CA    MTAL    ( 1-12, 60.9)    11- 2   
 330 H Watsonville            CA    MTAL    ( 6- 8, 70.2)    11- 6   
 401 A Thacher School         CA    Condor  ( 5- 7, 80.0)    10- 7   
 402 A Cate School            CA    Condor  ( 8- 3, 82.6)     3- 5   
 405 H Pacific Collegiate     CA    MTAL    (14- 6, 77.6)    12- 6   
 408 A Pacific Grove          CA    MTAL    (14- 3, 79.4)     4- 9   
 409 H Clayton Valley         CA    DVAL    (12- 5, 88.0)     8- 9   
 411 H Bellarmine Prep        CA    WCAL    (19- 3, 95.8)     5-15   
 412 H Carmel                 CA    MTAL    ( 4- 8, 69.2)     5- 3   
 416 H Palo Alto HS           CA    SCVAL-D (13- 7, 84.7)     4- 9   
 419 A Watsonville            CA    MTAL    ( 6- 8, 70.2)    13- 3   
 426 H York School            CA    MTAL    ( 1-12, 60.9)     8- 5   
 430 H Granite Bay            CA    SanJoq  (13- 3, 92.9)     3-12   
 503 A Pacific Collegiate     CA    MTAL    (14- 6, 77.6)     7- 5   
 506 H Pacific Grove          CA    MTAL    (14- 3, 79.4)    10- 3   
 511 H Pacific Collegiate     CA    MTAL    (14- 6, 77.6)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Harvard-Westlake        5- 8      -3   -12          n/a  
   308 A Chadwick School         8- 2       6     4          n/a  
   322 H Carmel                 16- 7       9     9          -0.39
   324 A York School            11- 2       9    16          -1.00
   330 H Watsonville            11- 6       5     8    -     -3.34
   401 A Thacher School         10- 7       3    -2          n/a  
   402 A Cate School             3- 5      -2    -5          n/a  
   405 H Pacific Collegiate     12- 6       6     0    ++     5.05
   408 A Pacific Grove           4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.25
   409 H Clayton Valley          8- 9      -1    -9          n/a  
   411 H Bellarmine Prep         5-15     -10   -17           0.00
   412 H Carmel                  5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.39
   416 H Palo Alto HS            4- 9      -5    -6           1.13
   419 A Watsonville            13- 3      10     7    +      2.54
   426 H York School             8- 5       3    17    ---   -7.00
   430 H Granite Bay             3-12      -9   -14          n/a  
   503 A Pacific Collegiate      7- 5       2     0           1.92
   506 H Pacific Grove          10- 3       7     0    +++    7.88
   511 H Pacific Collegiate      5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Carmel                  5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.39
   426 H York School             8- 5       3    17    ---   -7.00
   511 H Pacific Collegiate      5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.95
   330 H Watsonville            11- 6       5     8    -     -3.34
   408 A Pacific Grove           4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Harvard-Westlake        5- 8      -3   -12    +++        
   409 H Clayton Valley          8- 9      -1    -9    +++        
   506 H Pacific Grove          10- 3       7     0    +++    7.88
   401 A Thacher School         10- 7       3    -2    ++         
   405 H Pacific Collegiate     12- 6       6     0    ++     5.05
   402 A Cate School             3- 5      -2    -5    +          
   419 A Watsonville            13- 3      10     7    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.13 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.06 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/