Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   T.J. Barnett          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5010605    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 5-10, 88.0)    11- 9   
 408 A Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 1-14, 80.6)    11- 3   
 411 A Hackley                NY    Ivy     (18- 3, 99.9)     6-12   
 413 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     ( 7-11, 87.8)    10- 8   
 415 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     (12- 7, 91.9)    11-12   
 421 A Dwight-Englewood       NJ    Grp-B   ( 5-10, 71.1)     5- 4   
 427 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 4-12, 83.2)    16- 5   
 429 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (17- 3, 98.8)     5-11   
 430 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 5-10, 88.0)    11-10  o
 502 H Portledge              NY    MLA     ( 9- 7, 85.0)     7- 3   
 504 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 1-14, 80.6)    12- 5   
 511 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     ( 7-11, 87.8)    11- 9   
 513 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     (12- 7, 91.9)     9- 5   
 514 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 4-12, 83.2)    10- 6   
 516 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (17- 3, 98.8)     9- 8  o
 518 H Hackley                NY    Ivy     (18- 3, 99.9)    15-14  o
 522 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     ( 7-11, 87.8)    11-10   
 523 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (17- 3, 98.8)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Trinity School         11- 9       2     7    --    -5.06
   408 A Collegiate             11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   411 A Hackley                 6-12      -6    -5          -0.08
   413 H Fieldston              10- 8       2     7    --    -5.27
   415 A Dalton                 11-12      -1     2    -     -3.08
   421 A Dwight-Englewood        5- 4       1    22          n/a  
   427 A Horace Mann            16- 5      11    10           0.00
   429 A Poly Prep               5-11      -6    -4          -1.17
   430 A Trinity School         11-10  o    1     5    --    -5.00
   502 H Portledge               7- 3       4    10    ---   -6.00
   504 H Collegiate             12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   511 A Fieldston              11- 9       2     6    --    -4.21
   513 H Dalton                  9- 5       4     3           0.85
   514 H Horace Mann            10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   516 H Poly Prep               9- 8  o    1    -3    ++     4.76
   518 H Hackley                15-14  o    1    -4    ++     5.86
   522 H Fieldston              11-10       1     7    ---   -6.27
   523 H Poly Prep               7- 9      -2    -3           1.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Dwight-Englewood        5- 4       1    22    ---        
   502 H Portledge               7- 3       4    10    ---   -6.00
   514 H Horace Mann            10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   522 H Fieldston              11-10       1     7    ---   -6.27
   406 H Trinity School         11- 9       2     7    --    -5.06
   413 H Fieldston              10- 8       2     7    --    -5.27
   430 A Trinity School         11-10  o    1     5    --    -5.00
   511 A Fieldston              11- 9       2     6    --    -4.21
   408 A Collegiate             11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   415 A Dalton                 11-12      -1     2    -     -3.08
   504 H Collegiate             12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Poly Prep               9- 8  o    1    -3    ++     4.76
   518 H Hackley                15-14  o    1    -4    ++     5.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.51 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.92 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/