Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-II           
   Nickname = J Bucs                 Coach  =   Don Femminella        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2150345    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 80.9)    10-11   
 406 A Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 8, 75.9)    15- 5   
 408 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 6- 8, 73.8)    12- 9   
 411 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 90.9)     1-15   
 413 H Brick Memorial         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-10, 69.0)    17- 1   
 416 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 7, 78.8)    13- 9   
 418 H Monroe Township        NJ    Grp-III (13- 7, 82.0)    13-12   
 420 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 8, 69.7)    14- 4   
 426 A Wall Township          NJ    Grp-III (13- 5, 81.6)    13-12   
 427 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 6-12, 70.7)    14- 2   
 429 A Barnegat Township      NJ    Grp-I   ( 1-17, 60.3)    18- 3   
 502 H Shore Regional         NJ    Grp-I   ( 8- 9, 69.7)    13- 1   
 504 A Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  (12- 7, 84.4)     2-14   
 506 H Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   ( 1-10, 63.1)    13- 2   
 510 H Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9- 5, 77.3)    14- 5   
 513 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (15- 4, 90.9)     6-14   
 516 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 5-10, 72.8)     8- 7   
 518 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 6- 7, 73.2)     9-12   
 519 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 80.9)     7- 4   
 521 H Lawrence               NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 9, 68.6)     9- 8   
 523 A Mendham                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9-10, 86.3)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Colts Neck             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.73
   406 A Manasquan              15- 5      10     4    ++     5.44
   408 H Monsignor Donovan      12- 9       3     8    --    -5.81
   411 A Rumson-Fair Haven       1-15     -14   -10           0.00
   413 H Brick Memorial         17- 1      16    13           0.00
   416 A Southern Regional      13- 9       4     1    +      2.29
   418 H Monroe Township        13-12       1     0           0.41
   420 A St Rose Belmar         14- 4      10    10           0.00
   426 A Wall Township          13-12       1    -1    +      2.10
   427 H St John Vianney        14- 2      12    11           0.00
   429 A Barnegat Township      18- 3      15    20           0.00
   502 H Shore Regional         13- 1      12    12           0.00
   504 A Holmdel                 2-14     -12    -3    ---   -6.11
   506 H Ranney School          13- 2      11    19           0.00
   510 H Toms River North       14- 5       9     5    +      3.71
   513 A Rumson-Fair Haven       6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   516 H Toms River South        8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.76
   518 A Toms River East         9-12      -3     7    ---  -10.29
   519 A Red Bank Catholic       7- 4       3     0    +      3.42
   521 H Lawrence                9- 8       1    14    ---   -9.00
   523 A Mendham                 7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Holmdel                 2-14     -12    -3    ---   -6.11
   516 H Toms River South        8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.76
   518 A Toms River East         9-12      -3     7    ---  -10.29
   521 H Lawrence                9- 8       1    14    ---   -9.00
   408 H Monsignor Donovan      12- 9       3     8    --    -5.81
   402 H Colts Neck             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.73
   523 A Mendham                 7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Manasquan              15- 5      10     4    ++     5.44
   416 A Southern Regional      13- 9       4     1    +      2.29
   426 A Wall Township          13-12       1    -1    +      2.10
   510 H Toms River North       14- 5       9     5    +      3.71
   513 A Rumson-Fair Haven       6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   519 A Red Bank Catholic       7- 4       3     0    +      3.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.53 Local Power Rank...........    72
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.82 Local SOS Rank.............   110
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   139
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/