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Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-II Nickname = J Bucs Coach = Don FemminellaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.2150345 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 H Colts Neck NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 80.9) 10-11 406 A Manasquan NJ Grp-I ( 9- 8, 75.9) 15- 5 408 H Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-A ( 6- 8, 73.8) 12- 9 411 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (15- 4, 90.9) 1-15 413 H Brick Memorial NJ Grp-IV ( 4-10, 69.0) 17- 1 416 A Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV (11- 7, 78.8) 13- 9 418 H Monroe Township NJ Grp-III (13- 7, 82.0) 13-12 420 A St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-B ( 9- 8, 69.7) 14- 4 426 A Wall Township NJ Grp-III (13- 5, 81.6) 13-12 427 H St John Vianney NJ Grp-A ( 6-12, 70.7) 14- 2 429 A Barnegat Township NJ Grp-I ( 1-17, 60.3) 18- 3 502 H Shore Regional NJ Grp-I ( 8- 9, 69.7) 13- 1 504 A Holmdel NJ Grp-II (12- 7, 84.4) 2-14 506 H Ranney School NJ Grp-B ( 1-10, 63.1) 13- 2 510 H Toms River North NJ Grp-IV ( 9- 5, 77.3) 14- 5 513 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (15- 4, 90.9) 6-14 516 H Toms River South NJ Grp-III ( 5-10, 72.8) 8- 7 518 A Toms River East NJ Grp-III ( 6- 7, 73.2) 9-12 519 A Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-A ( 9- 8, 80.9) 7- 4 521 H Lawrence NJ Grp-II ( 9- 9, 68.6) 9- 8 523 A Mendham NJ Grp-II ( 9-10, 86.3) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Colts Neck 10-11 -1 1 - -2.73 406 A Manasquan 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.44 408 H Monsignor Donovan 12- 9 3 8 -- -5.81 411 A Rumson-Fair Haven 1-15 -14 -10 0.00 413 H Brick Memorial 17- 1 16 13 0.00 416 A Southern Regional 13- 9 4 1 + 2.29 418 H Monroe Township 13-12 1 0 0.41 420 A St Rose Belmar 14- 4 10 10 0.00 426 A Wall Township 13-12 1 -1 + 2.10 427 H St John Vianney 14- 2 12 11 0.00 429 A Barnegat Township 18- 3 15 20 0.00 502 H Shore Regional 13- 1 12 12 0.00 504 A Holmdel 2-14 -12 -3 --- -6.11 506 H Ranney School 13- 2 11 19 0.00 510 H Toms River North 14- 5 9 5 + 3.71 513 A Rumson-Fair Haven 6-14 -8 -10 + 2.00 516 H Toms River South 8- 7 1 9 --- -8.76 518 A Toms River East 9-12 -3 7 --- -10.29 519 A Red Bank Catholic 7- 4 3 0 + 3.42 521 H Lawrence 9- 8 1 14 --- -9.00 523 A Mendham 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 A Holmdel 2-14 -12 -3 --- -6.11 516 H Toms River South 8- 7 1 9 --- -8.76 518 A Toms River East 9-12 -3 7 --- -10.29 521 H Lawrence 9- 8 1 14 --- -9.00 408 H Monsignor Donovan 12- 9 3 8 -- -5.81 402 H Colts Neck 10-11 -1 1 - -2.73 523 A Mendham 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Manasquan 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.44 416 A Southern Regional 13- 9 4 1 + 2.29 426 A Wall Township 13-12 1 -1 + 2.10 510 H Toms River North 14- 5 9 5 + 3.71 513 A Rumson-Fair Haven 6-14 -8 -10 + 2.00 519 A Red Bank Catholic 7- 4 3 0 + 3.42/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.53 Local Power Rank........... 72 Local SOS Rating......... 51.82 Local SOS Rank............. 110 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 46 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 139 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 47 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3