Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (15- 4, 93.9)    10- 9   
 405 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 9, 87.3)    12- 2   
 409 A Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (15- 3, 92.7)     9-15   
 412 H Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (16- 3, 94.3)    10- 1   
 414 A Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   (14- 3, 92.0)    19- 3   
 416 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 94.0)     6- 4   
 419 A Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (11- 9, 95.3)     8- 5   
 422 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 89.9)    10- 4   
 428 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 97.1)     8- 9   
 430 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 83.0)    12- 3   
 505 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 91.8)    10- 2   
 507 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (16- 3, 97.7)     6- 7   
 510 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 83.2)    12- 2   
 512 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 90.9)     9- 8  o
 521 A Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 85.9)    19- 2   
 523 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 64.2)    18- 0   
 525 H Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 79.6)    19- 1   
 527 N Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (15- 4, 93.9)    13- 7   
 531 N Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   (14- 3, 92.0)    12- 6   
 604 N Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Palmyra-Macedon        10- 9       1     5    --    -4.08
   405 A McQuaid Jesuit         12- 2      10     9           0.65
   409 A Carthage                9-15      -6     4          n/a  
   412 H Geneva                 10- 1       9     4    ++     4.36
   414 A Bath-Haverling         19- 3      16     4    ++     5.37
   416 H Penfield                6- 4       2     5    -     -3.01
   419 A Lakeland/Panas          8- 5       3     1          n/a  
   422 A Canandaigua            10- 4       6     6          -0.80
   428 H Fairport                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.89
   430 H Webster Schroeder      12- 3       9    15          -1.00
   505 H Brighton               10- 2       8     7           0.86
   507 H Clarence                6- 7      -1     0          n/a  
   510 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     12- 2      10    15           0.00
   512 A Webster Thomas          9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.78
   521 A Livonia                19- 2      17    10           0.00
   523 H Batavia                18- 0      18    34           0.00
   525 H Mynderse Academy       19- 1      18    19           0.00
   527 N Palmyra-Macedon        13- 7       6     3    +      2.08
   531 N Bath-Haverling         12- 6       6     5           0.21
   604 N Silver Creek            8-15      -7    -2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Carthage                9-15      -6     4    ---        
   402 H Palmyra-Macedon        10- 9       1     5    --    -4.08
   512 A Webster Thomas          9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.78
   604 N Silver Creek            8-15      -7    -2    --         
   416 H Penfield                6- 4       2     5    -     -3.01
   428 H Fairport                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Geneva                 10- 1       9     4    ++     4.36
   414 A Bath-Haverling         19- 3      16     4    ++     5.37
   527 N Palmyra-Macedon        13- 7       6     3    +      2.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.81 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.73 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   29.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/