Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-II           
   Nickname = J Scarlet Flyers       Coach  =   Mike Smurro           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.4481354    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Lacey Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 2-14, 60.3)    13- 6   
 404 A Shore Regional         NJ    Grp-I   ( 8- 9, 69.7)     4- 8   
 406 A Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-II  ( 6- 9, 71.4)     4- 9   
 408 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 80.9)     2-13   
 413 A Wall Township          NJ    Grp-III (13- 5, 81.6)     6-14   
 416 H Long Branch            NJ    Grp-I   ( 0-18, 51.2)    18- 0   
 418 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 8, 69.7)     5- 9   
 420 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6- 6, 76.7)     2-15   
 425 A Lacey Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 2-14, 60.3)    11- 8   
 427 A Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-11, 67.9)     6- 7   
 429 H Brick Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 6- 8, 72.6)     1-11   
 502 H Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 80.9)     4-14   
 505 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 7, 81.2)     2-13   
 507 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (12- 4, 85.6)     1-13   
 509 H Shore Regional         NJ    Grp-I   ( 8- 9, 69.7)    12-10   
 511 H Barnegat Township      NJ    Grp-I   ( 1-17, 60.3)    10- 9   
 516 A Long Branch            NJ    Grp-I   ( 0-18, 51.2)    14- 1   
 520 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 6-12, 70.7)     8-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Lacey Township         13- 6       7     7          -0.46
   404 A Shore Regional          4- 8      -4    -4           0.08
   406 A Ocean Township          4- 9      -5    -5           0.71
   408 H Red Bank Catholic       2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   413 A Wall Township           6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
   416 H Long Branch            18- 0      18    16           0.00
   418 H St Rose Belmar          5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.03
   420 A Freehold Township       2-15     -13   -11           0.00
   425 A Lacey Township         11- 8       3     5    -     -2.34
   427 A Marlboro                6- 7      -1    -2           1.26
   429 H Brick Township          1-11     -10    -4    --    -5.12
   502 H Colts Neck              4-14     -10   -13           0.00
   505 A Howell                  2-13     -11   -15           0.00
   507 A Christian Bros          1-13     -12   -19           0.00
   509 H Shore Regional         12-10       2    -1    +      3.96
   511 H Barnegat Township      10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.46
   516 A Long Branch            14- 1      13    14           0.00
   520 A St John Vianney         8-14      -6    -5          -0.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Barnegat Township      10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.46
   429 H Brick Township          1-11     -10    -4    --    -5.12
   418 H St Rose Belmar          5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.03
   425 A Lacey Township         11- 8       3     5    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Wall Township           6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
   509 H Shore Regional         12-10       2    -1    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.71 Local Power Rank...........   156
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.70 Local SOS Rank.............   167
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............   160
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   102
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   147
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
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