Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Chris McGee           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6773682    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Staples-Westport       CT L          (15- 5, 92.6)     6-12   
 409 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (12- 8, 88.0)     7-14   
 412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT M          (10- 8, 88.1)    10-11  o
 414 H Trumbull               CT L          ( 3-13, 72.9)    12-10   
 416 A New Canaan             CT M          (13- 8, 90.6)     5-10   
 419 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 4-12, 72.4)    16- 3   
 421 A Westhill               CT L          ( 7-10, 80.7)    12-11   
 425 A Ridgefield             CT L          (18- 5, 96.4)     5-15   
 427 H Old Saybrook           CT S          (10- 8, 74.4)    13- 2   
 503 H Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 74.6)    14- 3   
 507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          (13- 6, 91.7)     6-17   
 510 H Wilton                 CT M          (16- 6, 95.4)     3-15   
 512 H Stamford               CT L          ( 6-11, 76.8)    19- 9   
 514 A Darien                 CT M          (19- 3, 99.9)     3-20   
 516 A Newtown                CT L          (18- 3, 90.7)    13-12   
 519 H Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 1-15, 69.1)    12- 4   
 601 A New Fairfield          CT M          (17- 5, 87.4)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Staples-Westport        6-12      -6    -8    +      2.73
   409 A St Joseph-Trumbull      7-14      -7    -6          -0.51
   412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.59
   414 H Trumbull               12-10       2    10    ---   -8.00
   416 A New Canaan              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.03
   419 H Northwest Catholic     16- 3      13    11           0.00
   421 A Westhill               12-11       1     0           0.12
   425 A Ridgefield              5-15     -10   -14           0.00
   427 H Old Saybrook           13- 2      11     9           0.57
   503 H Brookfield             14- 3      11     9           0.76
   507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.15
   510 H Wilton                  3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   512 H Stamford               19- 9      10     7    +      2.94
   514 A Darien                  3-20     -17   -18           0.00
   516 A Newtown                13-12       1    -9    +++   10.11
   519 H Fairfield-Warde        12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   601 A New Fairfield          11-15      -4    -5           1.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Trumbull               12-10       2    10    ---   -8.00
   507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.15
   519 H Fairfield-Warde        12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Newtown                13-12       1    -9    +++   10.11
   412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.59
   416 A New Canaan              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.03
   407 H Staples-Westport        6-12      -6    -8    +      2.73
   512 H Stamford               19- 9      10     7    +      2.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.71 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.78 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/