Conf =  Suburban                  Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Mike Vorgang          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.3237000    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 N Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 87.4)     7- 2   
 407 A Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   (11- 8, 86.1)    11- 6   
 414 H Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   (10- 8, 86.1)    11- 4   
 416 N Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (13- 5, 97.4)    11- 3   
 419 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 81.6)    15- 2   
 421 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-12, 81.3)    14- 1   
 423 H Duxbury                MA 1          (19- 3, 99.9)     7- 6   
 426 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (19- 2, 99.9)     5- 6   
 430 A Darien                 CT M          (19- 3, 99.9)     4- 8   
 503 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 85.9)    18- 7   
 505 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 70.1)    19- 2   
 507 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 86.6)    14- 2   
 509 A Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-12, 81.3)    19- 6   
 513 H Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   (11- 8, 86.1)    11- 6   
 517 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (19- 2, 99.9)     4- 9   
 519 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 86.6)    15- 3   
 525 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 85.9)    13- 5   
 528 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 87.4)    18- 6   
 601 N Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (19- 2, 99.9)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 N Shaker                  7- 2       5    10    --    -5.00
   407 A Burnt Hills            11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   414 H Colonie Central        11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00
   416 N Somers                 11- 3       8     0          n/a  
   419 A Bethlehem              15- 2      13    15           0.00
   421 H Saratoga Springs       14- 1      13    17           0.00
   423 H Duxbury                 7- 6       1    -1          n/a  
   426 H Shenendehowa            5- 6      -1     0          -0.01
   430 A Darien                  4- 8      -4    -3          n/a  
   503 H Guilderland            18- 7      11    13           0.00
   505 A Columbia               19- 2      17    26           0.00
   507 A Ballston Spa           14- 2      12    10           0.00
   509 A Saratoga Springs       19- 6      13    15           0.00
   513 H Burnt Hills            11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   517 A Shenendehowa            4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.06
   519 H Ballston Spa           15- 3      12    12           0.00
   525 H Guilderland            13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   528 H Shaker                 18- 6      12    11           0.00
   601 N Shenendehowa            4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 N Shaker                  7- 2       5    10    --    -5.00
   407 A Burnt Hills            11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   513 H Burnt Hills            11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   414 H Colonie Central        11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00
   517 A Shenendehowa            4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.06
   525 H Guilderland            13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   601 N Shenendehowa            4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 N Somers                 11- 3       8     0    +++        
   423 H Duxbury                 7- 6       1    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.93 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.67 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   41.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.260.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/