Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Shiffert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.9786453    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Salmon River           NY C  Sec 10  (18- 1, 99.9)     6-22   
 411 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 92.5)    13-12  o
 413 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 78.1)    17- 4   
 422 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (12- 5, 90.9)     9-12   
 426 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 68.7)    27- 1   
 427 H Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 81.7)    21- 6   
 429 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (16- 3, 97.7)     8-11   
 502 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 83.1)    15-10   
 504 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 73.8)    18- 3   
 505 A Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 82.3)    22- 5   
 509 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 81.5)    19- 5   
 511 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)    23- 4   
 513 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)    16-15  o
 516 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 97.0)     7-13   
 518 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 82.9)    17- 7   
 521 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 97.1)     8- 9   
 524 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 82.9)    20-13   
 527 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 92.5)    11- 9   
 601 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 97.0)    10- 9  o
 604 N Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (17- 4, 99.0)     7-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Salmon River            6-22     -16    -5          n/a  
   411 H West Seneca East       13-12  o    1     2          -1.76
   413 A Williamsville South    17- 4      13    16           0.00
   422 A Nichols                 9-12      -3     3    ---   -6.72
   426 H North Tonawanda        27- 1      26    26           0.00
   427 H Iroquois Central       21- 6      15    13           0.00
   429 H Clarence                8-11      -3    -2          -0.59
   502 A Lake Shore Central     15-10       5    11    --    -5.00
   504 H Grand Island           18- 3      15    21           0.00
   505 A Gowanda Central        22- 5      17    12           0.00
   509 H West Seneca West       19- 5      14    13           0.00
   511 A Williamsville East     23- 4      19    11           0.00
   513 A Silver Creek           16-15  o    1    -5    +++    6.26
   516 A Hamburg                 7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.67
   518 H Sweet Home             17- 7      10    12           0.00
   521 H Orchard Park            8- 9      -1    -1           0.81
   524 H Sweet Home             20-13       7    12    -     -3.00
   527 H West Seneca East       11- 9       2     2          -0.76
   601 N Hamburg                10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.03
   604 N Irondequoit             7-20     -13    -4          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Nichols                 9-12      -3     3    ---   -6.72
   402 A Salmon River            6-22     -16    -5    --         
   502 A Lake Shore Central     15-10       5    11    --    -5.00
   604 N Irondequoit             7-20     -13    -4    --         
   516 A Hamburg                 7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.67
   524 H Sweet Home             20-13       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Silver Creek           16-15  o    1    -5    +++    6.26
   601 N Hamburg                10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.95 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.23 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   16.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/