Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9974823    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Bethel                 CT S          ( 5-11, 71.6)    15- 4   
 407 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          (11- 8, 85.2)    11- 9   
 412 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          (10- 8, 78.5)    14- 2   
 414 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 4-12, 72.4)    14- 3   
 416 N William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 75.4)    17- 8   
 420 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 1-15, 61.0)    15- 2   
 421 A Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 3-13, 67.5)    17- 4   
 426 H Weston                 CT S          (11- 7, 85.7)    13- 3   
 429 A Newtown                CT L          (18- 3, 90.7)     8-12   
 430 H Rye HS                 NY B  Sec 1   (12- 6, 96.0)     7-13   
 503 H Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 3-13, 64.9)    17- 0   
 506 H New Milford            CT L          ( 8-10, 78.1)    15- 8   
 510 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 74.6)    14- 3   
 512 A Stratford              CT S          ( 0-16, 56.5)    16- 0   
 516 A Pomperaug              CT M          ( 6-11, 71.3)    17- 3   
 518 H Joel Barlow            CT S          (16- 5, 88.7)     7-17   
 523 H New Milford            CT L          ( 8-10, 78.1)    10- 9  o
 525 N Joel Barlow            CT S          (16- 5, 88.7)    10- 8   
 527 N Newtown                CT L          (18- 3, 90.7)     7-12   
 601 H Norwalk                CT M          ( 8- 9, 82.7)    15-11   
 604 H Branford               CT M          (10- 9, 79.3)    11- 5   
 608 N New Canaan             CT M          (13- 8, 90.6)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Bethel                 15- 4      11    14           0.00
   407 H Conard-West Hartford   11- 9       2     3          -1.40
   412 H Masuk-Monroe           14- 2      12    10           0.00
   414 H Northwest Catholic     14- 3      11    16           0.00
   416 N William Floyd          17- 8       9    12          n/a  
   420 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   15- 2      13    27           0.00
   421 A Immaculate Danbury     17- 4      13    18           0.00
   426 H Weston                 13- 3      10     2    +++    7.09
   429 A Newtown                 8-12      -4    -4           0.38
   430 H Rye HS                  7-13      -6    -7          n/a  
   503 H Bunnell-Stratford      17- 0      17    23           0.00
   506 H New Milford            15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   510 A Brookfield             14- 3      11    11           0.00
   512 A Stratford              16- 0      16    29           0.00
   516 A Pomperaug              17- 3      14    14           0.00
   518 H Joel Barlow             7-17     -10     0    ---   -9.93
   523 H New Milford            10- 9  o    1    10    ---   -9.00
   525 N Joel Barlow            10- 8       2    -1    +      3.23
   527 N Newtown                 7-12      -5    -3          -1.79
   601 H Norwalk                15-11       4     5          -1.90
   604 H Branford               11- 5       6     9    -     -3.28
   608 N New Canaan              5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Joel Barlow             7-17     -10     0    ---   -9.93
   523 H New Milford            10- 9  o    1    10    ---   -9.00
   506 H New Milford            15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   604 H Branford               11- 5       6     9    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Weston                 13- 3      10     2    +++    7.09
   525 N Joel Barlow            10- 8       2    -1    +      3.23
   608 N New Canaan              5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.45 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.43 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/