Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Heat                 Coach  =   Geoff Larsen          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3712692    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Chandler               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 6, 89.3)     8- 9   
 308 H Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (17- 2, 98.4)     7-11   
 311 H Horizon                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 5-11, 81.6)    20- 7   
 318 A Hamilton               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 3-11, 81.3)    12- 9   
 322 A Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-12, 80.0)     9- 1   
 325 A Saguaro                AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 6, 92.2)     4-14   
 402 H Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 86.8)    12- 6   
 405 H Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (19- 4, 99.9)     6- 9   
 408 A Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 7, 89.5)    11- 8   
 413 H Catalina Foothills     AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 7, 89.4)    10- 9   
 416 H Salpointe Catholic     AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 8, 87.8)     5- 8   
 419 A Mountain Pointe        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-13, 77.3)     8- 6   
 421 A Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 96.3)     4- 6   
 426 H Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-12, 82.1)    11- 9   
 429 A Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 96.3)     7- 6   
 504 A Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (17- 2, 98.4)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Chandler                8- 9      -1     0          -1.76
   308 H Chaparral               7-11      -4    -7    +      3.26
   311 H Horizon                20- 7      13     9           0.46
   318 A Hamilton               12- 9       3     8    --    -5.68
   322 A Gilbert                 9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00
   325 A Saguaro                 4-14     -10    -2    ---   -7.82
   402 H Tucson Tanque Verde    12- 6       6     4           1.68
   405 H Brophy Prep             6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.74
   408 A Corona del Sol         11- 8       3     0    +      2.43
   413 H Catalina Foothills     10- 9       1     1          -0.75
   416 H Salpointe Catholic      5- 8      -3     3    ---   -6.34
   419 A Mountain Pointe         8- 6       2    12    ---   -8.00
   421 A Desert Vista            4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.26
   426 H Desert Mountain        11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.05
   429 A Desert Vista            7- 6       1    -6    +++    7.26
   504 A Chaparral               3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Saguaro                 4-14     -10    -2    ---   -7.82
   416 H Salpointe Catholic      5- 8      -3     3    ---   -6.34
   419 A Mountain Pointe         8- 6       2    12    ---   -8.00
   426 H Desert Mountain        11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.05
   318 A Hamilton               12- 9       3     8    --    -5.68
   322 A Gilbert                 9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Desert Vista            7- 6       1    -6    +++    7.26
   405 H Brophy Prep             6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.74
   421 A Desert Vista            4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.26
   308 H Chaparral               7-11      -4    -7    +      3.26
   408 A Corona del Sol         11- 8       3     0    +      2.43
   504 A Chaparral               3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.59 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.96 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/