Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0571442    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H West Springfield       MA 2          (15- 4, 99.9)     8- 7  o
 411 A East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 3-12, 84.1)    10- 2   
 412 A South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 5, 97.2)    15-13   
 415 A Longmeadow             MA 2          (15- 8, 97.2)     5- 6   
 418 A Northampton            MA 2          ( 7-12, 84.7)    15- 4   
 421 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (11- 8, 92.9)     6- 7   
 423 A Algonquin              MA 2          (20- 5, 99.9)     3- 5   
 425 A South Windsor          CT L          (10- 9, 79.4)    16- 7   
 429 H Longmeadow             MA 2          (15- 8, 97.2)     8-13   
 502 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 4-12, 72.4)    16- 4   
 504 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (11- 8, 92.9)    12- 5   
 506 H South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 5, 97.2)    15-12   
 510 H Belchertown            MA 2          ( 3-17, 78.6)    16- 3   
 512 A Westfield              MA 2          ( 7-11, 89.7)     2- 3   
 517 A Agawam                 MA 2          (13- 8, 90.8)     9- 1   
 520 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 6, 99.7)    10-11   
 524 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          (13- 9, 91.3)    11- 7   
 527 H Westfield              MA 2          ( 7-11, 89.7)    11- 7   
 604 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (11- 8, 92.9)    10- 6   
 607 N South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 5, 97.2)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H West Springfield        8- 7  o    1    -3    ++     4.02
   411 A East Longmeadow        10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   412 A South Hadley           15-13       2     0    +      2.64
   415 A Longmeadow              5- 6      -1     0          -0.31
   418 A Northampton            15- 4      11    11           0.00
   421 H Amherst-Pelham          6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.98
   423 A Algonquin               3- 5      -2    -3          n/a  
   425 A South Windsor          16- 7       9    16          n/a  
   429 H Longmeadow              8-13      -5     0    --    -4.63
   502 A Northwest Catholic     16- 4      12    23          n/a  
   504 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 5       7     3    +      3.34
   506 H South Hadley           15-12       3     0    +      3.32
   510 H Belchertown            16- 3      13    18           0.00
   512 A Westfield               2- 3      -1     6    ---   -7.89
   517 A Agawam                  9- 1       8     5    +      2.22
   520 H St Johns Shrewsbury    10-11      -1    -2          n/a  
   524 H Cathedral Springfield  11- 7       4     5          -1.60
   527 H Westfield              11- 7       4     7    -     -3.21
   604 H Amherst-Pelham         10- 6       4     3           0.02
   607 N South Hadley           10-12      -2     0          -1.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Westfield               2- 3      -1     6    ---   -7.89
   421 H Amherst-Pelham          6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.98
   429 H Longmeadow              8-13      -5     0    --    -4.63
   411 A East Longmeadow        10- 2       8    12    -     -2.00
   527 H Westfield              11- 7       4     7    -     -3.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H West Springfield        8- 7  o    1    -3    ++     4.02
   412 A South Hadley           15-13       2     0    +      2.64
   504 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 5       7     3    +      3.34
   506 H South Hadley           15-12       3     0    +      3.32
   517 A Agawam                  9- 1       8     5    +      2.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.72 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.55 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   14.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.205.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/