Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Middie Bears         Coach  =   Scott Cantara         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0365143    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H New Paltz              NY C  Sec 9   ( 1- 9, 75.0)    13- 6   
 406 A Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (14- 2, 99.9)     2-16   
 408 A Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (16- 3, 97.9)     3- 9   
 413 A Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (11- 7, 94.3)     8-12   
 415 H Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-11, 81.8)    12- 2   
 418 A Highland               NY C  Sec 9   ( 0-14, 71.1)    15- 4   
 421 H Clarkstown North       NY A  Sec 1   ( 5-12, 76.0)    12- 8   
 425 H Millbrook HS           NY C  Sec 9   ( 6- 7, 85.2)    12- 4   
 428 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-12, 78.4)     6- 3   
 430 H J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 7- 8, 83.5)    10- 3   
 503 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (14- 4, 98.3)     5-12   
 504 A Delaware Valley        NY I  Sec 9   (12- 9, 87.7)     6- 5   
 505 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   ( 5- 9, 88.2)     6- 9   
 509 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (13- 5, 96.1)     6- 9   
 511 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 7- 9, 91.0)     7-14   
 516 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 5- 9, 87.8)     8- 5   
 521 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (14- 4, 98.3)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H New Paltz              13- 6       7    15    -     -3.00
   406 A Minisink Valley         2-16     -14   -11           0.00
   408 A Red Hook                3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.23
   413 A Warwick Valley          8-12      -4    -5           1.64
   415 H Washingtonville        12- 2      10     8           1.07
   418 A Highland               15- 4      11    17           0.00
   421 H Clarkstown North       12- 8       4    14          n/a  
   425 H Millbrook HS           12- 4       8     5    +      2.46
   428 H Newburgh Free Academy   6- 3       3    12    ---   -7.00
   430 H J.S. Burke Catholic    10- 3       7     7          -0.20
   503 A Pine Bush               5-12      -7    -9    +      2.65
   504 A Delaware Valley         6- 5       1     0           0.05
   505 H Kingston                6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.46
   509 A Valley Central          6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.45
   511 H Monroe-Woodbury         7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.73
   516 H Roosevelt Hyde Park     8- 5       3     2           0.12
   521 A Pine Bush               6-15      -9    -9           0.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Clarkstown North       12- 8       4    14    ---        
   428 H Newburgh Free Academy   6- 3       3    12    ---   -7.00
   511 H Monroe-Woodbury         7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.73
   505 H Kingston                6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.46
   404 H New Paltz              13- 6       7    15    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Valley Central          6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.45
   408 A Red Hook                3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.23
   425 H Millbrook HS           12- 4       8     5    +      2.46
   503 A Pine Bush               5-12      -7    -9    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.68 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.34 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/