Region = NC    Conf-02          
   Nickname = C Mustangs             Coach  =   Paul Robison          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.0987244    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (10- 6, 91.2)    16-17  o
 304 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 3-12, 77.1)    16- 2   
 308 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-02 (12- 5, 91.4)    10- 8   
 311 A Triton                 NC    Conf-02 ( 1-15, 69.9)    18- 0   
 315 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 5-12, 80.5)    18- 4   
 318 A Apex                   NC    Conf-02 (19- 2, 98.6)     6-13   
 322 A Green Hope             NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 8, 82.9)    11- 3   
 324 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (10- 6, 91.2)    11- 6   
 329 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 3-12, 77.1)    17- 9   
 401 H Athens Drive           NC    Conf-02 (12- 5, 91.4)    12- 7   
 405 H Triton                 NC    Conf-02 ( 1-15, 69.9)     1- 0   
 405 H Pinecrest              NC    Indep   ( 4- 5, 89.9)    22- 2   
 408 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 5-12, 80.5)    14- 4   
 412 H Apex                   NC    Conf-02 (19- 2, 98.6)    10-11   
 415 H Green Hope             NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 8, 82.9)    15- 2   
 421 A NorthWest Guilford     NC    Conf-07 (20- 2, 98.1)     5-12   
 429 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 7, 84.7)    18-13   
 503 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-03 (17- 2, 94.7)    10- 6   
 506 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (18- 3, 96.8)    13-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Holly Springs          16-17  o   -1     2    -     -3.82
   304 A Cary HS                16- 2      14    16           0.00
   308 A Athens Drive           10- 8       2     2          -0.57
   311 A Triton                 18- 0      18    24           0.00
   315 H Panther Creek          18- 4      14    14           0.00
   318 A Apex                    6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.34
   322 A Green Hope             11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   324 H Holly Springs          11- 6       5     3           1.00
   329 H Cary HS                17- 9       8    18    -     -2.00
   401 H Athens Drive           12- 7       5     3           1.25
   405 H Pinecrest              22- 2      20     5          n/a  
   408 A Panther Creek          14- 4      10    13           0.00
   412 H Apex                   10-11      -1    -3    +      2.48
   415 H Green Hope             15- 2      13    12           0.00
   421 A NorthWest Guilford      5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.87
   429 H Wilmington Ashley      18-13       5    10    --    -5.00
   503 A Cardinal Gibbons       10- 6       4     0    ++     4.71
   506 A East Chapel Hill       13-17      -4    -2          -1.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Wilmington Ashley      18-13       5    10    --    -5.00
   301 A Holly Springs          16-17  o   -1     2    -     -3.82
   318 A Apex                    6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.34
   322 A Green Hope             11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   329 H Cary HS                17- 9       8    18    -     -2.00
   421 A NorthWest Guilford      5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Pinecrest              22- 2      20     5    ++         
   503 A Cardinal Gibbons       10- 6       4     0    ++     4.71
   412 H Apex                   10-11      -1    -3    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.58 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.43 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/