Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   John Rauseo           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.5993423    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Belchertown            MA 2          ( 3-17, 78.6)    18- 4   
 411 A Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          (13- 9, 91.3)    12- 5   
 412 A Northampton            MA 2          ( 7-12, 84.7)    17- 1   
 414 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 3-12, 84.1)    14- 2   
 415 H Minnechaug             MA 2          (13- 7, 96.7)     6- 5   
 418 A West Springfield       MA 2          (15- 4, 99.9)     3-11   
 421 A Algonquin              MA 2          (20- 5, 99.9)     8- 4   
 426 H Westfield              MA 2          ( 7-11, 89.7)     9- 7   
 429 A Minnechaug             MA 2          (13- 7, 96.7)    13- 8   
 501 H Medfield               MA 2          (18- 7, 92.4)     7-12   
 504 H Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 0, 99.9)     5-17   
 506 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (11- 8, 92.9)    15- 6   
 510 H Agawam                 MA 2          (13- 8, 90.8)    10- 8   
 512 H South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 5, 97.2)    13-14   
 517 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (16- 6, 99.7)    11-13   
 520 A South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 5, 97.2)    16- 7   
 521 H Pinkerton              NH 1          (19- 1, 99.9)     7-15   
 523 A Westfield              MA 2          ( 7-11, 89.7)    10- 7   
 527 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          (11- 8, 92.9)     5- 6   
 604 H Agawam                 MA 2          (13- 8, 90.8)    17- 6   
 607 N West Springfield       MA 2          (15- 4, 99.9)     9- 7   
 611 N South Hadley           MA 2          (15- 5, 97.2)    13-11   
 614 N Algonquin              MA 2          (20- 5, 99.9)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Belchertown            18- 4      14    18           0.00
   411 A Cathedral Springfield  12- 5       7     5           1.20
   412 A Northampton            17- 1      16    12           0.00
   414 H East Longmeadow        14- 2      12    13           0.00
   415 H Minnechaug              6- 5       1     0           0.31
   418 A West Springfield        3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.19
   421 A Algonquin               8- 4       4    -2          n/a  
   426 H Westfield               9- 7       2     7    --    -5.74
   429 A Minnechaug             13- 8       5     0    ++     4.63
   501 H Medfield                7-12      -5     5          n/a  
   504 H Deerfield               5-17     -12    -2          n/a  
   506 A Amherst-Pelham         15- 6       9     4    ++     4.81
   510 H Agawam                 10- 8       2     6    --    -4.63
   512 H South Hadley           13-14      -1     0          -1.21
   517 A St Johns Shrewsbury    11-13      -2    -2          n/a  
   520 A South Hadley           16- 7       9     0    +++    9.11
   521 H Pinkerton               7-15      -8    -2          n/a  
   523 A Westfield              10- 7       3     7    --    -4.42
   527 H Amherst-Pelham          5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.51
   604 H Agawam                 17- 6      11     6    +      3.37
   607 N West Springfield        9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.65
   611 N South Hadley           13-11       2     0           1.95
   614 N Algonquin               8- 9  o   -1    -2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Medfield                7-12      -5     5    ---        
   504 H Deerfield               5-17     -12    -2    ---        
   418 A West Springfield        3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.19
   426 H Westfield               9- 7       2     7    --    -5.74
   510 H Agawam                 10- 8       2     6    --    -4.63
   521 H Pinkerton               7-15      -8    -2    --         
   523 A Westfield              10- 7       3     7    --    -4.42
   527 H Amherst-Pelham          5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Algonquin               8- 4       4    -2    +++        
   520 A South Hadley           16- 7       9     0    +++    9.11
   429 A Minnechaug             13- 8       5     0    ++     4.63
   506 A Amherst-Pelham         15- 6       9     4    ++     4.81
   607 N West Springfield        9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.65
   604 H Agawam                 17- 6      11     6    +      3.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.25 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.27 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   28.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.285.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/