Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Mike Simpson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6140137    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 6- 9, 76.2)    10- 6   
 326 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks   (14- 6, 86.1)     9-10   
 330 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (16- 5, 89.8)     3-15   
 401 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (14- 5, 88.1)     6-17   
 405 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (21- 4, 96.7)     8-20   
 411 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 7, 83.1)     9- 8   
 412 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-17, 61.7)    13- 0   
 414 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 67.7)    14- 1   
 416 H Bellefonte             PA    CSNLL   ( 0-15, 55.3)    15- 0   
 418 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 69.5)    11- 3   
 425 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 80.3)     8- 7  o
 426 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 0-15, 64.3)    16- 3   
 429 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 80.7)    11-10   
 430 H Wyomissing             PA    Berks   (19- 4, 89.0)    10-15   
 502 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (22- 2, 99.9)     2-18   
 504 A Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 6, 82.8)    14-13   
 505 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 9, 78.6)     8-11   
 509 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-17, 61.7)    20- 1   
 517 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (21- 4, 96.7)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Lampeter-Strasburg     10- 6       4     5          -1.47
   326 H Governor Mifflin        9-10      -1    -4    +      3.39
   330 A Ephrata                 3-15     -12    -8          -1.75
   401 A Penn Manor              6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.52
   405 H Hempfield               8-20     -12   -15           0.00
   411 A Conestoga Valley        9- 8       1    -1    +      2.53
   412 H Garden Spot            13- 0      13    19           0.00
   414 H Cedar Crest            14- 1      13    13           0.00
   416 H Bellefonte             15- 0      15    26           0.00
   418 A Lancaster Mennonite    11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   425 A Elizabethtown           8- 7  o    1     1          -0.25
   426 H Bishop McDevitt        16- 3      13    17           0.00
   429 A Cocalico               11-10       1     0           0.15
   430 H Wyomissing             10-15      -5    -7    +      2.34
   502 H Manheim Township        2-18     -16   -18           0.00
   504 A Trinity HS             14-13       1    -1    +      2.24
   505 H Warwick                 8-11      -3     3    ---   -6.12
   509 A Garden Spot            20- 1      19    19           0.00
   517 A Hempfield               7-15      -8   -15    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Warwick                 8-11      -3     3    ---   -6.12
   401 A Penn Manor              6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.52
   418 A Lancaster Mennonite    11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Governor Mifflin        9-10      -1    -4    +      3.39
   411 A Conestoga Valley        9- 8       1    -1    +      2.53
   430 H Wyomissing             10-15      -5    -7    +      2.34
   504 A Trinity HS             14-13       1    -1    +      2.24
   517 A Hempfield               7-15      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.63 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.81 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
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