Region = OH 1  SoWest           
   Nickname = H Firebirds            Coach  =   Dave Reed             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.1276627    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Springboro             OH 4  SoWest  ( 7- 9, 88.9)    14- 7   
 325 H Bishop Fenwick         OH 2  SoWest  ( 3-11, 73.6)    17- 7   
 401 H Glenbrook North        IL A  CenSub  (15- 4, 94.1)     8-12   
 406 H Summit Country Day     OH 2  SoWest  (15- 4, 92.1)     4-13   
 408 H Lakota East            OH 1  SoWest  ( 2-15, 74.0)     8- 6   
 409 H Sylvania Southview     OH 1  NoWest  (10- 6, 83.1)     9- 4   
 413 A Loveland               OH 1  SoWest  ( 4-15, 78.7)    16- 9   
 415 H Indian Hill            OH 2  SoWest  ( 9- 6, 87.0)     7-10   
 427 A Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  SoWest  (15- 6, 95.6)     4-18   
 429 H Turpin                 OH 2  SoWest  (12- 4, 90.2)    13-14  o
 430 A Mason                  OH 1  SoWest  (12- 4, 94.6)     2-14   
 504 H Kings                  OH 2  SoWest  ( 8- 7, 82.8)    17- 2   
 506 H Elder-Cincinnati       OH 1  SoWest  ( 8-11, 80.0)     8- 5   
 507 H Centerville            OH 1  SoWest  ( 8- 5, 90.4)     9- 6   
 511 A Sycamore               OH 1  SoWest  ( 8-10, 85.7)     4-11   
 513 A Mariemont              OH 2  SoWest  (15- 5, 91.4)    11-16   
 514 A Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  SoWest  (15- 7, 94.6)     3-16   
 519 H Hilliard Darby         OH 1  SoWest  ( 6-10, 79.8)     8- 4   
 521 A Mason                  OH 1  SoWest  (12- 4, 94.6)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Springboro             14- 7       7    -7          n/a  
   325 H Bishop Fenwick         17- 7      10    11           0.00
   401 H Glenbrook North         8-12      -4    -8          n/a  
   406 H Summit Country Day      4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.47
   408 H Lakota East             8- 6       2    11    ---   -8.00
   409 H Sylvania Southview      9- 4       5     2    +      2.55
   413 A Loveland               16- 9       7     3    +      3.86
   415 H Indian Hill             7-10      -3    -1          -1.62
   427 A Cincinnati St Xavier    4-18     -14   -13           0.00
   429 H Turpin                 13-14  o   -1    -4    +      3.60
   430 A Mason                   2-14     -12   -12           0.00
   504 H Kings                  17- 2      15     2    +++    7.24
   506 H Elder-Cincinnati        8- 5       3     5    -     -2.63
   507 H Centerville             9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.80
   511 A Sycamore                4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.13
   513 A Mariemont              11-16      -5    -9    ++     4.57
   514 A Archbishop Moeller      3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   519 H Hilliard Darby          8- 4       4     5          -1.73
   521 A Mason                   4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Lakota East             8- 6       2    11    ---   -8.00
   406 H Summit Country Day      4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.47
   506 H Elder-Cincinnati        8- 5       3     5    -     -2.63
   511 A Sycamore                4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Springboro             14- 7       7    -7    +++        
   504 H Kings                  17- 2      15     2    +++    7.24
   507 H Centerville             9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.80
   401 H Glenbrook North         8-12      -4    -8    ++         
   513 A Mariemont              11-16      -5    -9    ++     4.57
   521 A Mason                   4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   409 H Sylvania Southview      9- 4       5     2    +      2.55
   413 A Loveland               16- 9       7     3    +      3.86
   429 H Turpin                 13-14  o   -1    -4    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.72 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.27 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    53
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    48
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
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