Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Jeremy Adams          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5609131    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (22- 2, 99.9)     3-21   
 329 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (21- 4, 96.7)     4-19   
 402 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 0-15, 64.3)    11- 4   
 404 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 9, 78.6)    16-11   
 409 N Lewisburg              PA    CSNLL   (11- 5, 77.1)    12- 3   
 411 A West York              PA    York 2  ( 8- 9, 76.8)     5-11   
 414 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 80.7)    15-14  o
 419 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 67.7)     9- 1   
 420 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (16- 5, 89.8)     6-13   
 421 A Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 3-13, 71.5)    15- 2   
 425 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb (11- 8, 81.6)     7- 8  o
 427 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 6- 9, 76.2)     8- 9   
 428 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (14- 5, 88.1)     3- 9   
 430 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 78.5)     7- 6  o
 502 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 69.5)    17- 7   
 503 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-17, 61.7)    13- 2   
 505 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 7, 83.1)     4-12   
 510 H Selinsgrove            PA    CSNLL   ( 6- 8, 67.1)    20- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Manheim Township        3-21     -18   -19           0.00
   329 H Hempfield               4-19     -15   -16           0.00
   402 H Bishop McDevitt        11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00
   404 H Warwick                16-11       5     1    +      3.18
   409 N Lewisburg              12- 3       9     3    ++     5.80
   411 A West York               5-11      -6     3    ---   -9.51
   414 H Cocalico               15-14  o    1     0           1.35
   419 A Cedar Crest             9- 1       8    12    -     -2.00
   420 H Ephrata                 6-13      -7    -9    +      2.45
   421 A Mechanicsburg          15- 2      13     8           1.24
   425 H Lancaster Cou Day       7- 8  o   -1    -1           0.25
   427 A Lampeter-Strasburg      8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.06
   428 A Penn Manor              3- 9      -6    -7           1.78
   430 A Lower Dauphin           7- 6  o    1     1          -0.81
   502 A Lancaster Mennonite    17- 7      10    10           0.00
   503 A Garden Spot            13- 2      11    18           0.00
   505 H Conestoga Valley        4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.28
   510 H Selinsgrove            20- 6      14    13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A West York               5-11      -6     3    ---   -9.51
   427 A Lampeter-Strasburg      8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.06
   505 H Conestoga Valley        4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.28
   402 H Bishop McDevitt        11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00
   419 A Cedar Crest             9- 1       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 N Lewisburg              12- 3       9     3    ++     5.80
   404 H Warwick                16-11       5     1    +      3.18
   420 H Ephrata                 6-13      -7    -9    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.33 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.99 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/