Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2052383    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA-B  ( 3-13, 84.7)     5- 2   
 317 H Gilman                 MD A  MIAA-B  (13- 5, 97.0)     7- 8   
 319 H St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA-B  (12- 6, 94.7)     3- 7   
 324 H Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL (12- 8, 89.2)     7- 5   
 326 H Malvern Prep           PA    IAC     (14- 6, 93.3)     9- 8  o
 328 H Oakton                 VA    Concord ( 9- 9, 91.1)    14- 3   
 330 H New Trier              IL A  CenSub  (18- 6, 99.9)     9- 7   
 401 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    ( 7-11, 87.9)     9- 5   
 404 H Woodson                VA    Patriot (10- 6, 92.7)    13- 2   
 405 H Calverton              MD    MILL    (11- 4, 96.6)    10- 6   
 408 A Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (21- 5, 95.4)    12- 7   
 411 A Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (13- 5, 94.1)     8- 5   
 414 H St Albans              DC    IAC     ( 9-13, 88.7)     8- 5   
 416 H Coronado               CA    City    (19- 4, 99.7)     9- 4   
 420 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 3, 99.3)    10- 5   
 423 H Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (12-11, 89.0)     8- 6   
 426 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (19- 3, 99.9)     7- 5   
 429 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (13- 6, 94.2)     8- 3   
 503 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (11- 9, 92.9)     5- 3   
 504 H Urbana                 MD 43 North   ( 8- 7, 88.4)     6- 2   
 511 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (21- 5, 95.4)    12- 4   
 514 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 3, 99.3)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Archbishop Spalding     5- 2       3    12    ---   -7.00
   317 H Gilman                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.00
   319 H St Mary's Annapolis     3- 7      -4     3    ---   -7.36
   324 H Avon Old Farms          7- 5       2     8          n/a  
   326 H Malvern Prep            9- 8  o    1     4          n/a  
   328 H Oakton                 14- 3      11     6          n/a  
   330 H New Trier               9- 7       2    -1          n/a  
   401 H DeMatha                 9- 5       4    10          n/a  
   404 H Woodson                13- 2      11     5          n/a  
   405 H Calverton              10- 6       4     2          n/a  
   408 A Episcopal HS           12- 7       5     1    +      3.07
   411 A Our Lady-Good Counsel   8- 5       3     2          n/a  
   414 H St Albans               8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.27
   416 H Coronado                9- 4       5    -1          n/a  
   420 H Georgetown Prep        10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.31
   423 H Penn Charter            8- 6       2     8          n/a  
   426 A Gonzaga                 7- 5       2    -3          n/a  
   429 A Bullis                  8- 3       5     3           1.90
   503 H St Stephen/St Agnes     5- 3       2     5    -     -3.14
   504 H Urbana                  6- 2       4     9          n/a  
   511 H Episcopal HS           12- 4       8     2    ++     5.38
   514 H Georgetown Prep         6- 7  o   -1    -1           0.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Archbishop Spalding     5- 2       3    12    ---   -7.00
   319 H St Mary's Annapolis     3- 7      -4     3    ---   -7.36
   324 H Avon Old Farms          7- 5       2     8    ---        
   401 H DeMatha                 9- 5       4    10    ---        
   414 H St Albans               8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.27
   423 H Penn Charter            8- 6       2     8    ---        
   504 H Urbana                  6- 2       4     9    --         
   317 H Gilman                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.00
   326 H Malvern Prep            9- 8  o    1     4    -          
   503 H St Stephen/St Agnes     5- 3       2     5    -     -3.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Coronado                9- 4       5    -1    +++        
   420 H Georgetown Prep        10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.31
   404 H Woodson                13- 2      11     5    ++         
   426 A Gonzaga                 7- 5       2    -3    ++         
   511 H Episcopal HS           12- 4       8     2    ++     5.38
   328 H Oakton                 14- 3      11     6    +          
   330 H New Trier               9- 7       2    -1    +          
   408 A Episcopal HS           12- 7       5     1    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.67 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.56 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/