Region = NC    Conf-04          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.9705353    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 7, 83.4)     5- 3   
 301 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 4-12, 73.5)    14- 0   
 303 H Durham Academy         NC    NCISAA  (14- 7, 95.9)     9-10   
 315 A W.G. Enloe             NC    Conf-03 ( 4-10, 74.3)    19- 0   
 317 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 5-12, 80.5)    15- 5   
 318 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 7- 6, 81.1)    13- 4   
 322 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (12- 4, 90.2)     5- 3   
 324 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (10- 7, 87.9)     6- 8   
 329 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 5-11, 71.1)    17- 0   
 405 A Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 7- 6, 81.1)    19- 8   
 406 H J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 2-12, 70.6)    19- 6   
 408 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (12- 4, 90.2)     9-10   
 411 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 9, 80.4)    19- 4   
 414 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 5-11, 71.1)    18- 3   
 415 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 2-12, 70.6)     1- 0   
 418 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 ( 3-10, 76.6)    18- 5   
 419 A Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 ( 6- 9, 80.6)    14- 1   
 425 N Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (12- 4, 90.2)     5- 6   
 429 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (10- 7, 87.9)     9- 5   
 503 A Apex                   NC    Conf-02 (19- 2, 98.6)     2-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Carrboro                5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.44
   301 A Hillsborough Orange    14- 0      14    18           0.00
   303 H Durham Academy          9-10      -1    -2          n/a  
   315 A W.G. Enloe             19- 0      19    17           0.00
   317 A Panther Creek          15- 5      10    11           0.00
   318 H Northern Durham        13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   322 A Durham Riverside        5- 3       2     1           0.52
   324 A Chapel Hill             6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.77
   329 H Roxboro Community Sch  17- 0      17    21           0.00
   405 A Northern Durham        19- 8      11    10           0.00
   406 H J.F. Webb              19- 6      13    22           0.00
   408 H Durham Riverside        9-10      -1     2    -     -3.66
   411 H Cedar Ridge            19- 4      15    12           0.00
   414 A Roxboro Community Sch  18- 3      15    20           0.00
   418 A Wilmington New Hanover 18- 5      13    15           0.00
   419 A Wilmington Laney       14- 1      13    11           0.00
   425 N Durham Riverside        5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.07
   429 A Chapel Hill             9- 5       4     3           0.23
   503 A Apex                    2-16     -14    -6    -     -3.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Carrboro                5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.44
   324 A Chapel Hill             6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.77
   408 H Durham Riverside        9-10      -1     2    -     -3.66
   425 N Durham Riverside        5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.07
   503 A Apex                    2-16     -14    -6    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.30 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.73 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/