Region = VA    Liberty          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Nick Worek            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1128540    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 81.3)    11- 7   
 331 A Fairfax                VA    Liberty ( 0-12, 75.5)     7- 5   
 404 A Madison                VA    Liberty (10- 8, 90.7)     6-13   
 406 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 72.1)    11- 3   
 414 H Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 79.8)     9- 8   
 418 A Herndon                VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 89.6)     5-14   
 426 H Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty (11- 5, 93.7)     3-15   
 430 H Langley                VA    Liberty (19- 3, 99.9)     4-15   
 502 A Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 504 A South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 8- 4, 88.8)     7- 8  o
 506 A South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 8- 4, 88.8)     9- 8   
 509 A Langley                VA    Liberty (19- 3, 99.9)     3-16   
 517 A Annandale              VA    Patriot (16- 4, 98.6)     4-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H McLean                 11- 7       4     1    +      2.49
   331 A Fairfax                 7- 5       2     6    --    -4.92
   404 A Madison                 6-13      -7    -8           1.28
   406 A J.E.B. Stuart          11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   414 H Marshall                9- 8       1     3    -     -2.04
   418 A Herndon                 5-14      -9    -7          -1.75
   426 H Stone Bridge            3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   430 H Langley                 4-15     -11   -17           0.00
   502 A Chantilly               4-12      -8   -17    +      2.00
   504 A South Lakes             7- 8  o   -1    -6    ++     5.37
   506 A South Lakes             9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.37
   509 A Langley                 3-16     -13   -17           0.00
   517 A Annandale               4-18     -14   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Fairfax                 7- 5       2     6    --    -4.92
   406 A J.E.B. Stuart          11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   414 H Marshall                9- 8       1     3    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A South Lakes             9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.37
   504 A South Lakes             7- 8  o   -1    -6    ++     5.37
   321 H McLean                 11- 7       4     1    +      2.49
   502 A Chantilly               4-12      -8   -17    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.61 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.43 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/