Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Nils Haugen           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5658264    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   (10- 7, 87.5)    10-11  o
 330 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 89.8)     7-20   
 401 H Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  (12- 4, 91.6)     6-16   
 404 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 97.8)     3-19   
 406 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 72.3)    14- 6   
 412 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 80.9)     7- 9   
 414 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.1)     2-20   
 418 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 99.1)     4-20   
 420 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     1-16   
 427 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 85.7)     7-10   
 429 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 63.8)    18- 3   
 504 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.1)     2-15   
 506 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.6)    11-12   
 510 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 89.1)     7-15   
 512 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 84.6)     4- 7   
 516 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 72.7)    14-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Baldwin                10-11  o   -1    -9          n/a  
   330 A East Islip              7-20     -13   -13           0.00
   401 H Islip                   6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   404 H Sachem North            3-19     -16   -20           0.00
   406 H Riverhead              14- 6       8     4    +      3.10
   412 H West Babylon            7- 9      -2    -3           1.63
   414 A Ward Melville           2-20     -18   -22           0.00
   418 H Smithtown West          4-20     -16   -21           0.00
   420 A West Islip              1-16     -15   -23           0.00
   427 A Lindenhurst             7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.99
   429 H Brentwood              18- 3      15    13           0.00
   504 A Connetquot              2-15     -13   -16           0.00
   506 H Sachem East            11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.32
   510 A Northport               7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00
   512 H Middle Country          4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.41
   516 A Copiague               14-11       3     4          -1.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Baldwin                10-11  o   -1    -9    +++        
   427 A Lindenhurst             7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.99
   506 H Sachem East            11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.32
   512 H Middle Country          4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.41
   406 H Riverhead              14- 6       8     4    +      3.10
   510 A Northport               7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.96 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.07 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/