Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Mike Conway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0733948    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Plainedge              NY B  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 81.5)    15- 2   
 328 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 3, 99.3)     6-16   
 330 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 72.3)    13- 3   
 404 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 84.3)    10-12   
 406 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 63.8)    21- 0   
 409 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 78.3)    14- 6   
 412 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.5)     8-13   
 414 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 72.7)    22- 6   
 426 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.9)     5- 6   
 429 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 82.6)    13-18   
 504 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.1)     2- 7   
 506 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 75.4)    12- 4   
 510 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     2- 7   
 512 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 84.6)    15- 6   
 514 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 89.8)     9- 7   
 516 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.9)    10- 2   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Plainedge              15- 2      13     7          n/a  
   328 H Georgetown Prep         6-16     -10   -10          n/a  
   330 A Riverhead              13- 3      10    15           0.00
   404 A Walt Whitman           10-12      -2     3    --    -5.49
   406 H Brentwood              21- 0      21    24           0.00
   409 A Longwood               14- 6       8     9          -1.47
   412 A Smithtown East          8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.27
   414 H Copiague               22- 6      16    15           0.00
   426 H Bay Shore               5- 6      -1    -1           0.60
   429 A Patchogue-Medford      13-18      -5     5    ---  -10.23
   504 H Ward Melville           2- 7      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   506 A William Floyd          12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   510 H West Islip              2- 7      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   512 A North Babylon          15- 6       9     3    ++     5.85
   514 H East Islip              9- 7       2    -1    +      3.47
   516 H Commack                10- 2       8     9          -1.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Patchogue-Medford      13-18      -5     5    ---  -10.23
   404 A Walt Whitman           10-12      -2     3    --    -5.49
   412 A Smithtown East          8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.27
   506 A William Floyd          12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Ward Melville           2- 7      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   510 H West Islip              2- 7      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   512 A North Babylon          15- 6       9     3    ++     5.85
   324 H Plainedge              15- 2      13     7    +          
   514 H East Islip              9- 7       2    -1    +      3.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.05 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.17 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/