Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.1964264    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Calverton              MD    MILL    (11- 4, 96.6)     8- 7  o
 321 H Kent School            NE 1  West-FL ( 5-11, 83.2)     5- 4   
 322 H Bishop McNamara        DC    WCAC    ( 2-13, 68.3)    15- 1   
 324 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (19- 3, 99.9)     3- 6   
 326 A Sherwood               MD 43 West    (13- 3, 90.4)    13- 6   
 328 A Perry Hall             MD 43 South   ( 6- 9, 82.1)    14- 0   
 330 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10-10, 85.6)    10- 5   
 404 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (15- 4, 98.6)     8-16   
 406 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (15- 6, 95.7)     9- 8   
 411 H Landon                 DC    IAC     (19- 3, 97.7)     5- 8   
 412 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 3-16, 74.8)    12- 6   
 419 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    ( 7-11, 87.9)    12- 6   
 421 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 4-15, 79.5)    12- 6   
 423 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 3, 99.3)     4- 8   
 429 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (10- 9, 90.0)    12- 4   
 503 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (10-10, 85.6)    12- 2   
 505 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (15- 4, 98.6)     8- 7   
 509 N Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (19- 3, 99.9)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Calverton               8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.35
   321 H Kent School             5- 4       1    12          n/a  
   322 H Bishop McNamara        15- 1      14    27           0.00
   324 A Gonzaga                 3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.64
   326 A Sherwood               13- 6       7     2          n/a  
   328 A Perry Hall             14- 0      14    10          n/a  
   330 H St Johns DC            10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   404 A St Marys Ryken          8-16      -8    -6          -1.67
   406 H Paul VI                 9- 8       1     0           0.74
   411 H Landon                  5- 8      -3    -2          n/a  
   412 A Bishop Ireton          12- 6       6    17    --    -4.00
   419 H DeMatha                12- 6       6     8    -     -2.07
   421 A Bishop O'Connell       12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   423 H Georgetown Prep         4- 8      -4    -4          n/a  
   429 H Dominion HS            12- 4       8     5          n/a  
   503 H St Johns DC            12- 2      10    10           0.00
   505 A St Marys Ryken          8- 7       1    -6    +++    7.33
   509 N Gonzaga                 8-10      -2    -5    +      3.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Kent School             5- 4       1    12    ---        
   330 H St Johns DC            10- 5       5    10    --    -5.00
   412 A Bishop Ireton          12- 6       6    17    --    -4.00
   421 A Bishop O'Connell       12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   419 H DeMatha                12- 6       6     8    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A St Marys Ryken          8- 7       1    -6    +++    7.33
   315 A Calverton               8- 7  o    1    -4    ++     5.35
   324 A Gonzaga                 3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.64
   326 A Sherwood               13- 6       7     2    ++         
   429 H Dominion HS            12- 4       8     5    +          
   509 N Gonzaga                 8-10      -2    -5    +      3.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.13 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.57 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/