Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Stack           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1943741    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 82.9)     6- 5  o
 409 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 78.1)     6- 5 2o
 412 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 87.0)    10- 9 2o
 414 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 97.1)     6-10   
 418 N Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 419 N Westfield              VA    Concord ( 7- 8, 91.5)     3- 7   
 420 A West Springfield       VA    Patriot (12- 8, 92.8)     6- 9   
 428 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 5, 93.4)     4-11   
 430 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (20- 1, 99.9)     0-13   
 506 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 92.5)     2- 3 5o
 510 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (16- 3, 97.7)     5-17   
 512 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 73.1)    10- 4   
 514 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 73.8)    12- 4   
 517 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.9)     6-20   
 524 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 87.0)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Sweet Home              6- 5  o    1     0           0.01
   409 H Williamsville South     6- 5 2o    1     5    --    -4.71
   412 A Williamsville North    10- 9 2o    1    -3    ++     4.80
   414 H Orchard Park            6-10      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   418 N Chantilly               4-12      -8   -16          n/a  
   419 N Westfield               3- 7      -4    -7          n/a  
   420 A West Springfield        6- 9      -3    -9          n/a  
   428 H Lancaster               4-11      -7    -9    +      2.56
   430 A Pittsford               0-13     -13   -17          n/a  
   506 H West Seneca East        2- 3 5o   -1    -8    +++    7.65
   510 H Clarence                5-17     -12   -13           0.00
   512 A Lockport               10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   514 A Grand Island           12- 4       8     9          -1.44
   517 H Silver Creek            6-20     -14   -16           0.00
   524 H Williamsville North     3- 6      -3    -3           0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Williamsville South     6- 5 2o    1     5    --    -4.71
   512 A Lockport               10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Orchard Park            6-10      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   420 A West Springfield        6- 9      -3    -9    +++        
   506 H West Seneca East        2- 3 5o   -1    -8    +++    7.65
   412 A Williamsville North    10- 9 2o    1    -3    ++     4.80
   418 N Chantilly               4-12      -8   -16    +          
   419 N Westfield               3- 7      -4    -7    +          
   428 H Lancaster               4-11      -7    -9    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.53 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.74 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/