Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Ed Moy                

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0955963    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Medford                MA 1          (11- 7, 76.5)     9- 3   
 409 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (15- 7, 89.4)    12-11  o
 412 H Wellesley              MA 2          (17- 1, 95.7)     4-12   
 414 A Weymouth               MA 1          ( 8-10, 80.1)    21- 9   
 416 H Waltham                MA 1          ( 8-10, 82.2)     6- 7  o
 419 H Dover                  NH 2          (16- 3, 94.1)     9- 3   
 421 H Newton South           MA 1          ( 2-18, 72.9)    19- 5   
 426 H Natick                 MA 1          (12- 6, 86.7)    17- 8   
 429 N Needham                MA 1          (18- 3, 95.8)     4-15   
 502 H Foxborough             MA 2          (19- 4, 89.9)    10- 8   
 503 H Dedham                 MA 3          ( 0-16, 62.7)    17- 2   
 506 H Newton North           MA 1          (10- 9, 85.8)     9- 5   
 510 H Milton                 MA 2          ( 4-13, 73.2)    12- 7   
 512 H Braintree              MA 1          ( 2-16, 71.3)    16- 6   
 517 A Norwood                MA 2          ( 5-12, 79.3)    14- 4   
 520 A Walpole                MA 2          (14- 5, 90.2)     6-12   
 523 A Brookline              MA 1          (14- 6, 86.9)    14- 7   
 602 H North Quincy           MA 1          ( 9- 8, 75.6)    21- 3   
 604 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (14- 8, 92.2)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Medford                 9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   409 H Acton Boxborough       12-11  o    1     0           0.41
   412 H Wellesley               4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.26
   414 A Weymouth               21- 9      12     8           1.82
   416 H Waltham                 6- 7  o   -1     7    ---   -8.71
   419 H Dover                   9- 3       6    -4          n/a  
   421 H Newton South           19- 5      14    17           0.00
   426 H Natick                 17- 8       9     3    ++     5.72
   429 N Needham                 4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.29
   502 H Foxborough             10- 8       2     0           1.97
   503 H Dedham                 17- 2      15    27           0.00
   506 H Newton North            9- 5       4     4          -0.17
   510 H Milton                 12- 7       5    16    --    -5.00
   512 H Braintree              16- 6      10    18           0.00
   517 A Norwood                14- 4      10     8           1.05
   520 A Walpole                 6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.10
   523 A Brookline              14- 7       7     1    ++     5.62
   602 H North Quincy           21- 3      18    14           0.00
   604 H St Johns Prep Danvers   4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Waltham                 6- 7  o   -1     7    ---   -8.71
   604 H St Johns Prep Danvers   4-15     -11    -2    ---   -7.81
   406 A Medford                 9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   510 H Milton                 12- 7       5    16    --    -5.00
   520 A Walpole                 6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.10
   412 H Wellesley               4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.26
   429 N Needham                 4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Dover                   9- 3       6    -4    +++        
   426 H Natick                 17- 8       9     3    ++     5.72
   523 A Brookline              14- 7       7     1    ++     5.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.12 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.52 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    55
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/