Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Hicks           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.1721649    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Bacon Academy          CT M          ( 5-11, 65.6)     9- 5   
 409 H Valley Regional        CT S          ( 5-10, 67.5)     4- 9   
 412 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (10- 7, 77.7)     6-14   
 415 A Waterford              CT S          ( 9- 8, 72.3)     9-13   
 421 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 63.2)    13- 7   
 422 A Ledyard                CT S          (11- 7, 77.6)     8-12   
 426 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 86.5)     3-13   
 428 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 2-14, 60.8)     8- 4   
 430 A Avon HS                CT M          (12- 7, 80.7)     5-19   
 503 H Stonington             CT S          (17- 3, 84.6)     7-17   
 505 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (10- 7, 77.7)    10-13   
 507 A RHAM                   CT M          (12- 5, 76.7)     4-16   
 510 H Waterford              CT S          ( 9- 8, 72.3)     8- 9  o
 513 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 6-10, 69.9)     7-13   
 519 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 86.5)     3-15   
 521 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 2-14, 63.2)    10- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Bacon Academy           9- 5       4     0    +      3.87
   409 H Valley Regional         4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.53
   412 H Norwich Free Academy    6-14      -8    -9           1.63
   415 A Waterford               9-13      -4    -6    +      2.53
   421 H Woodstock Academy      13- 7       6     4           1.16
   422 A Ledyard                 8-12      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   426 A East Lyme               3-13     -10   -20           0.00
   428 A Saint Bernard           8- 4       4     4          -0.95
   430 A Avon HS                 5-19     -14   -14           0.00
   503 H Stonington              7-17     -10   -16           0.00
   505 A Norwich Free Academy   10-13      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   507 A RHAM                    4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   510 H Waterford               8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.20
   513 A Morgan-Clinton          7-13      -6    -4          -1.90
   519 H East Lyme               3-15     -12   -18           0.00
   521 A Woodstock Academy      10- 7       3     2           0.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Valley Regional         4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Ledyard                 8-12      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   505 A Norwich Free Academy   10-13      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   407 A Bacon Academy           9- 5       4     0    +      3.87
   415 A Waterford               9-13      -4    -6    +      2.53
   510 H Waterford               8- 9  o   -1    -4    +      3.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.92 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.07 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    60
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    69
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/