Falls Church                  2 -10


 
                                     Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Jaguars              Coach  =   Geoff Young           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.2770386    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 81.3)     6-11   
 317 A T.C. Williams          VA    Patriot ( 7- 9, 83.7)     5-13   
 321 A Centreville            VA    Concord ( 6- 7, 86.8)     6-14   
 325 A Robert E Lee           VA    Patriot ( 2-10, 73.2)     4- 5  o
 401 H Edison                 VA    Nationl (10- 5, 90.5)     3-22   
 404 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 72.1)     8- 5   
 408 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-13, 62.0)    17- 0   
 414 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 6-11, 81.1)    13-14  o
 426 H Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 77.0)    18-19   
 428 A Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 9- 5, 86.3)     5-17   
 503 H Yorktown               VA    Nationl (13- 6, 90.2)     4-15   
 506 A Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 9- 5, 86.3)    10-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H McLean                  6-11      -5    -6           1.64
   317 A T.C. Williams           5-13      -8    -9           1.43
   321 A Centreville             6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00
   325 A Robert E Lee            4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.09
   401 H Edison                  3-22     -19   -15           0.00
   404 A J.E.B. Stuart           8- 5       3     2           0.87
   408 A Wakefield HS           17- 0      17    12           0.00
   414 A Mount Vernon           13-14  o   -1    -6    ++     5.88
   426 H Hayfield               18-19      -1    -2           1.28
   428 A Washington-Lee          5-17     -12   -12           0.00
   503 H Yorktown                4-15     -11   -15           0.00
   506 A Washington-Lee         10-12      -2   -12    +++    8.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Robert E Lee            4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.09


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Washington-Lee         10-12      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   414 A Mount Vernon           13-14  o   -1    -6    ++     5.88
   321 A Centreville             6-14      -8   -12    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.46 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.92 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.33 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3


  
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