Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Redmen               Coach  =   Joe Ancona            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3448181    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A John Glenn - Elwood    NY C  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.2)    14-10   
 330 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 77.0)    20- 7   
 402 N Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (17- 4, 98.5)    15- 6   
 406 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 99.1)     4-13   
 408 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 82.6)    14-10   
 412 N Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 89.1)    11- 8   
 414 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.9)    17- 7   
 418 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 75.4)    18- 7   
 426 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 84.3)    16-13   
 429 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 97.8)     7-14   
 504 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.5)     9-10   
 506 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.1)     8-10   
 510 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.9)    11- 9   
 512 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     7-11   
 514 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 88.1)     7- 9   
 516 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.1)     5-10   
 519 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.5)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A John Glenn - Elwood    14-10       4     6    -     -2.29
   330 H Half Hollow Hills West 20- 7      13    13           0.00
   402 N Mahopac                15- 6       9    -8          n/a  
   406 A Smithtown West          4-13      -9    -9           0.61
   408 A Patchogue-Medford      14-10       4     6    -     -2.97
   412 N Northport              11- 8       3     0    +      2.31
   414 H Commack                17- 7      10    11           0.00
   418 A William Floyd          18- 7      11    14           0.00
   426 A Walt Whitman           16-13       3     5    -     -2.23
   429 A Sachem North            7-14      -7    -8           1.23
   504 H Smithtown East          9-10      -1     0          -1.54
   506 H Connetquot              8-10      -2    -3           1.04
   510 A Bay Shore              11- 9       2     0    +      2.39
   512 H West Islip              7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.84
   514 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.47
   516 H Ward Melville           5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.04
   519 A Smithtown East          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A John Glenn - Elwood    14-10       4     6    -     -2.29
   408 A Patchogue-Medford      14-10       4     6    -     -2.97
   426 A Walt Whitman           16-13       3     5    -     -2.23
   514 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.47
   519 A Smithtown East          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 N Mahopac                15- 6       9    -8    +++        
   512 H West Islip              7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.84
   516 H Ward Melville           5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.04
   412 N Northport              11- 8       3     0    +      2.31
   510 A Bay Shore              11- 9       2     0    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.79 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.05 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/