Region = MI 2                   
   Nickname = I Pilots               Coach  =   Chris Ferrari         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7993164    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Utica Eisenhower       MI 1          (11- 7, 82.5)     7- 3   
 329 A Notre Dame Prep        MI 2          (18- 4, 88.8)    10-11   
 331 A Troy Athens            MI 1          (16- 6, 88.3)    12-11   
 402 A Grosse Pointe South    MI 2          (15- 5, 82.8)    10- 4   
 409 A Cranbrook              MI 2          (10- 8, 82.7)    11- 6   
 412 H Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1          ( 6-14, 82.3)     7- 6   
 416 A Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          (15- 4, 86.5)     8- 9   
 419 A Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1          (13- 6, 92.9)     5-15   
 426 A Grosse Pointe North    MI 2          ( 8- 9, 77.1)     9- 6   
 427 H Brother Rice           MI 1          (18- 4, 99.9)     5-16   
 429 A Okemos                 MI 2          ( 8-11, 78.9)     8- 5   
 503 A OL St Mary's           MI 2          ( 8-12, 77.5)    10- 7   
 506 H Rochester Adams        MI 2          (11- 8, 81.2)    11- 4   
 510 A Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1          (13- 6, 92.9)     8-17   
 518 H Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          ( 8-11, 82.1)    14- 6   
 521 A Northville             MI 1          (10- 8, 84.8)    14- 2   
 527 H University Liggett     MI 2          ( 3- 8, 68.8)    11- 1   
 601 N Rochester Adams        MI 2          (11- 8, 81.2)     7- 5   
 603 N Grosse Pointe South    MI 2          (15- 5, 82.8)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Utica Eisenhower        7- 3       4     2           1.08
   329 A Notre Dame Prep        10-11      -1    -3    +      2.31
   331 A Troy Athens            12-11       1    -2    +      3.79
   402 A Grosse Pointe South    10- 4       6     2    +      3.31
   409 A Cranbrook              11- 6       5     2    +      2.23
   412 H Univ Detroit Jesuit     7- 6       1     5    --    -4.98
   416 A Ann Arbor Pioneer       8- 9      -1    -1           0.04
   419 A Detroit Catholic Cent   5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.53
   426 A Grosse Pointe North     9- 6       3     8    --    -5.33
   427 H Brother Rice            5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   429 A Okemos                  8- 5       3     6    -     -3.53
   503 A OL St Mary's           10- 7       3     7    --    -4.98
   506 H Rochester Adams        11- 4       7     7          -0.01
   510 A Detroit Catholic Cent   8-17      -9    -7          -1.53
   518 H Birmingham-Seaholm     14- 6       8     6           1.84
   521 A Northville             14- 2      12     0    +++    9.31
   527 H University Liggett     11- 1      10    19           0.00
   601 N Rochester Adams         7- 5       2     5    -     -3.62
   603 N Grosse Pointe South     5- 7      -2     4    ---   -6.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 N Grosse Pointe South     5- 7      -2     4    ---   -6.08
   412 H Univ Detroit Jesuit     7- 6       1     5    --    -4.98
   426 A Grosse Pointe North     9- 6       3     8    --    -5.33
   503 A OL St Mary's           10- 7       3     7    --    -4.98
   419 A Detroit Catholic Cent   5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.53
   429 A Okemos                  8- 5       3     6    -     -3.53
   601 N Rochester Adams         7- 5       2     5    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Northville             14- 2      12     0    +++    9.31
   329 A Notre Dame Prep        10-11      -1    -3    +      2.31
   331 A Troy Athens            12-11       1    -2    +      3.79
   402 A Grosse Pointe South    10- 4       6     2    +      3.31
   409 A Cranbrook              11- 6       5     2    +      2.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.86 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.23 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/