Conf =  Northeast                 Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.3865891    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Andover HS             MA 1          (12- 8, 86.9)     3-15   
 411 H Swampscott             MA 3          ( 8-11, 75.2)     8-10   
 414 H Marblehead             MA 2          (11- 8, 80.8)     7-16   
 419 H Pentucket              MA 2          ( 2-15, 70.4)    10- 8   
 421 A Waltham                MA 1          ( 8-10, 82.2)     3- 7   
 422 H Wakefield              MA 2          (11- 8, 83.8)    13-12   
 425 H Beverly                MA 2          (13- 6, 84.6)    11-12   
 427 A Burlington             MA 2          (11- 9, 82.9)     6-13   
 428 A Saugus                 MA 2          ( 4-15, 65.6)    18-10   
 430 A Peabody                MA 1          ( 5-13, 73.2)    16-12   
 502 H Salem                  MA 1          ( 6-14, 72.7)    10- 4   
 504 H Georgetown             MA 3          (10- 7, 77.3)     8-10   
 505 A Gloucester             MA 2          ( 8- 9, 77.4)    13-14   
 509 H Peabody                MA 1          ( 5-13, 73.2)     9-10   
 512 A Beverly                MA 2          (13- 6, 84.6)     9-12   
 516 A Westford Academy       MA 1          (15- 7, 87.4)     9-18   
 519 A Marblehead             MA 2          (11- 8, 80.8)    12-11   
 523 H Gloucester             MA 2          ( 8- 9, 77.4)    11-10 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Andover HS              3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   411 H Swampscott              8-10      -2     1    -     -3.84
   414 H Marblehead              7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.28
   419 H Pentucket              10- 8       2     6    --    -4.68
   421 A Waltham                 3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.86
   422 H Wakefield              13-12       1    -6    +++    7.76
   425 H Beverly                11-12      -1    -7    +++    6.56
   427 A Burlington              6-13      -7    -7           0.48
   428 A Saugus                 18-10       8     9          -1.80
   430 A Peabody                16-12       4     2           1.80
   502 H Salem                  10- 4       6     4           1.66
   504 H Georgetown              8-10      -2     0          -1.79
   505 A Gloucester             13-14      -1    -1           0.98
   509 H Peabody                 9-10      -1     3    --    -4.87
   512 A Beverly                 9-12      -3    -9    +++    6.23
   516 A Westford Academy        9-18      -9   -11           1.00
   519 A Marblehead             12-11       1    -5    +++    6.38
   523 H Gloucester             11-10 2o    1     0           1.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Marblehead              7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.28
   419 H Pentucket              10- 8       2     6    --    -4.68
   509 H Peabody                 9-10      -1     3    --    -4.87
   411 H Swampscott              8-10      -2     1    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Wakefield              13-12       1    -6    +++    7.76
   425 H Beverly                11-12      -1    -7    +++    6.56
   512 A Beverly                 9-12      -3    -9    +++    6.23
   519 A Marblehead             12-11       1    -5    +++    6.38
   421 A Waltham                 3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.22 Local Power Rank...........    81
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.50 Local SOS Rank.............    76
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    92
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   107
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
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