Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Bob Moltisanti Jr.    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5100098    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.5)     8- 5   
 330 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 89.5)     8- 5   
 405 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     7- 8  o
 409 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 84.6)    12- 6   
 412 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 84.3)    16- 8   
 414 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 72.3)    16- 3   
 418 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 85.7)     8-11   
 420 A Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   (14- 4, 96.9)     8- 7  o
 427 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 89.1)    10- 9   
 429 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.1)     3-11   
 504 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 77.0)    15- 2   
 506 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 89.8)    10- 8   
 510 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.6)    14- 4   
 512 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 99.1)     5- 6   
 513 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 80.9)    11- 5   
 516 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 97.8)     7-14   
 519 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 84.6)    20- 4   
 524 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 97.8)    10- 9   
 527 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 99.9)     2- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Mount Sinai             8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.35
   330 H Smithtown East          8- 5       3     3          -0.85
   405 A West Islip              7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.07
   409 A Middle Country         12- 6       6     8    -     -2.19
   412 H Walt Whitman           16- 8       8     9          -1.06
   414 H Riverhead              16- 3      13    21           0.00
   418 H Lindenhurst             8-11      -3     7    ---  -10.68
   420 A Massapequa              8- 7  o    1    -4          n/a  
   427 A Northport              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.73
   429 A Ward Melville           3-11      -8    -6          -1.74
   504 H Half Hollow Hills West 15- 2      13    16           0.00
   506 A East Islip             10- 8       2     3          -1.04
   510 A Sachem East            14- 4      10    10           0.00
   512 H Smithtown West          5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   513 A West Babylon           11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   516 H Sachem North            7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.61
   519 H North Babylon          20- 4      16     8           1.27
   524 A Sachem North           10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.92
   527 A West Islip              2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Mount Sinai             8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.35
   418 H Lindenhurst             8-11      -3     7    ---  -10.68
   513 A West Babylon           11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   409 A Middle Country         12- 6       6     8    -     -2.19
   427 A Northport              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.73
   516 H Sachem North            7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A West Islip              7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.07
   420 A Massapequa              8- 7  o    1    -4    ++         
   512 H Smithtown West          5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   524 A Sachem North           10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.92
   527 A West Islip              2- 6      -4    -7    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.10 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.28 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/