Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0543976    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Watertown IHC          NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 76.9)     3- 6   
 402 A Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 75.3)     9- 5   
 405 A Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 77.7)    12-13 2o
 407 H Nottingham             NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 65.1)    18- 5   
 412 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 76.7)     9- 6   
 414 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 70.0)     9- 1   
 416 H Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   (10- 8, 86.1)    11- 9   
 419 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   (12- 5, 90.0)    12-13   
 422 A South Jefferson        NY C  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 79.9)    12-10   
 427 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 79.1)    15- 1   
 429 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (17- 3, 97.2)     1-10   
 503 H Utica Proctor          NY A  Sec 3   ( 0-16, 56.0)    23- 1   
 506 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   (10- 7, 80.3)     7-12   
 510 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (17- 2, 93.1)     6-12   
 513 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (16- 2, 93.4)     4-12   
 517 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 83.9)     6-10   
 524 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (17- 3, 97.2)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Watertown IHC           3- 6      -3     5    ---   -8.04
   402 A Maine-Endwell           9- 5       4     4          n/a  
   405 A Henninger              12-13 2o   -1     2    -     -3.84
   407 H Nottingham             18- 5      13    16           0.00
   412 A Central Square          9- 6       3     3          -0.76
   414 H Auburn                  9- 1       8    12    -     -2.00
   416 H Colonie Central        11- 9       2    -4          n/a  
   419 H Corcoran               12-13      -1    -8    +++    7.01
   422 A South Jefferson        12-10       2     0           1.42
   427 A Oswego                 15- 1      14     1    +++    8.62
   429 A West Genesee            1-10      -9   -16           1.00
   503 H Utica Proctor          23- 1      22    25           0.00
   506 A Rome Free Academy       7-12      -5     0    --    -5.23
   510 H Liverpool               6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   513 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
   517 A Baldwinsville           6-10      -4    -3          -0.62
   524 A West Genesee            2-19     -17   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Watertown IHC           3- 6      -3     5    ---   -8.04
   506 A Rome Free Academy       7-12      -5     0    --    -5.23
   405 A Henninger              12-13 2o   -1     2    -     -3.84
   414 H Auburn                  9- 1       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Colonie Central        11- 9       2    -4    +++        
   419 H Corcoran               12-13      -1    -8    +++    7.01
   427 A Oswego                 15- 1      14     1    +++    8.62
   510 H Liverpool               6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   513 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4-12      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.24 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.16 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/